ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/10/08 1426Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1415Z		DS
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LOCATION...S/CENTRAL ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...EAX...TSA...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HVY RAINS ON THE MOVE ACROSS AR/MO INTO S/CENTRAL IL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS MID/UPPER LVL SYSTEM
AMPLIFYING JUST N OF THE OK PANHANDLE IN SW KS/SE CO. VERY STRG UPPER JET
FLOW IS SEEN PER STLT WINDS AROUND THE VORT WITH 100KT OR GREATER SPEED
MAXES OVER AZ/CENTRAL TX TO W MS/AND NE OK TO SE NE. SINCE ABOUT 10Z
CLOUD TOP TEMPS HAVE RAPIDLY WARMED AS THE ENTIRE LINE OF CELLS BECAME
MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH ITS EWD MOVEMENT AND CONSOLIDATED TO THE NRN
PORTION OF THE LINE ACROSS AR/MO. 12Z PW ANALYSIS SHOWED 1.4-1.5" PW
VALUES CENTERED FROM N LA INTO CENTRAL MO..APPROX WHERE THE STRONGEST
REMAINING CNVTN IS STILL LOCATED. PROFILERS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A
60-70KT LLJ FROM THE GULF REGION INTO CENTRAL AR PULLING MOISTURE NWD.
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AS SAID BEFORE THOUGH..CLOUD TOPS HAVE BEEN WARMING AND CONTINUE TO DO SO
WITH THE COLDEST ONLY BEING -64 TO -67C OVER ERN MO. LIGHTNING DATA SHOWS
THE MOST CONVECTIVE CELLS ARE LOCATED FROM SW AR TO N CENTRAL AR ACROSS
SE MO INTO S IL STRETCHING TO MARION COUNTY. OVER THE PAST 1HR ENDING
1400Z..HYDROESTIMATOR SHOWS TWO MAXES..ONE OF AROUND 1.0" OVER SEARCY/VAN
BUREN COUNTIES IN AR AND THE OTHER OF 1.3" OVER SHANNON/REYNOLDS COUNTIES
IN MO. THIS HVY RAINFALL SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE NEWD INTO SRN/CENTRAL
IL OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS. ADDTL WARMER TOP STORMS WITH MOD RAIN ARE
LIFTING NEWD FROM NE TX INTO SW/CENTRAL AR AND MAY TRACK OVER SOME OF
THE SAME COUNTIES IN N CENTRAL AR THAT HAVE ALREADY SEEN HVY RAIN. SEE
WEB ADDRESS IN ABOUT 5 MIN FOR ESTIMATE GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3954 9233 3805 8839 3345 9316 3412 9419
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