ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/10/08 0414Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0402Z    CW
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...W ARKANSAS...OKLAHOMA...SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...ADDITIONAL HVY RAINS OVER OK WITH RAINFALL INTENSITY INCREASING
FOR MO
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AXIS OF HVY RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW HRS
HAS BEEN ORIENTED SW TO NE ACROSS E OK INTO NW AND N AR.  IR ANIMATION IS
SHOWING CLOUD TOP WARMING OVER N AR AND CLOUD TOP COOLING OVER CENTRAL
AND EASTERN OK.  THE COLDER CLOUD TOPS OF -74C OVER OK SEEMS TO BE IN
RESPONSE TO A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TRAVELING ACROSS OK AND HEADING
NNE INTO E KS AND W MO PER 0245Z WV ANALYSIS.  IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS
ADDITIONAL HVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL AND E OK FROM PITTSBURG COUNTY AND
POINTS N AND E INTO NW AR AS FAR AS MARION COUNTY.  HYDROESTIMATOR FOR
1-HR ENDING 0345Z SHOWS MAX RAINFALL OVER NEWTON COUNTY AR OF 1.4", 1.3"
MAX OVER OZARK MO, AND MAXIMUMS OVER COAL/PITTSBURG/LATIMER COUNTIES OK
OF 1.2".  MANUAL STLT TECHNIQUE SUGGESTS RAINRATES FROM COLDEST CLOUD
TOPS OVER E OK MAY BE BETWEEN 1.5-2.0"/HR.
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OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS EXPECTING AXIS OF HVY RAINFALL TO PERSIST OVER
CENTRAL AND E OK AND BEGIN TO EXTEND INTO EXTREME SE KS AND INTO MO.
OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BACKING OF THE WINDS IS SEEN IN STLT DERIVED
WINDS AND PROFILER DATA OVER S MO.  BEST UPPER AIR DIVERGENCE HAS ALSO
BEGUN TO SHIFT NWD OVER MO SUGGESTING THE UVVS WILL BECOME GREATER.
RAIN RATES OVER MO AND SE KS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS AND SHOULD REMAIN MOD/HVY FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT AS OVERALL MID-LVL
TROUGH BECOMES MORE NEGATIVELY TILTED ACROSS NW TX/CO/WY.  GOES-12 ECLIPSE
IS ABOUT TO BEGIN SO WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION WITH GOES-11
IMAGERY UNTIL JUST AFTER 06Z WHEN ECLIPSE ENDS.
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PLEASE SEE WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN ABOUT 10 MINS FOR STLT EST GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3905 9427 3807 9118 3419 9452 3503 9894
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