ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/10/08 0115Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0102Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...ARKANSAS...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINS IN CNTRL OK WITH POTENTIAL FOR MORE HEAVY
RAINS INTO WRN AR
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...HYDROESTIMATOR NOT DOING TOO BAD
AUTOMATED ESTIMATES FROM 2130Z-0030Z SHOWING GENERAL 1"-1.5" OVER E
CNTRL OK FROM OSAGE/MAYES/MUSKOGEE/HUGHES COUNTIES WITH 2.1" MAX OVER
SRN OKMULGEE/NW MCINTOSH COUNTIES.  MANUAL ESTIMATES AGREE WITH 1.0"-1.5"
AREA HOWEVER MANUAL ESTIMATES GIVING MAX TOTALS OVER NRN HUGHES/OKFUSKEE
FROM 2115Z-0015Z TO AS HIGH AS 3.0" WITH UP TO 1.9" BETWEEN 2145Z-2245Z.

AM CONCERNED WITH NEXT SEVERAL HOURS OVER NRN TX INTO SE/CNTRL OK AND
INTO WRN AK WITH CURRENT CONVECTION FROM PREVIUS PARAGRAPH MOVING INTO
WRN AK AND NEW/EXISTING CONVECTION IN NRN TX MOVING INTO SRN OK.
CURRENTLY THINKING AREAS IN WRN AR/ERN OK COULD SEE CONTINUED HEAVY RAINS
AS THE WARM FRONT REMAINS JUST N/E OF THE AREA ALLOWING FOR CONTINUED
TRANSPORT OF GOOD MOISTURE AND THETA-E...PW VALUES CURRENTLY RANGING FROM
1.5"-1.7" OVER ERN TX/WRN LA PER GOES SOUNDER/GPS.  ALSO NOT EXPECTING
WIND SHEAR TO DIFFER TOO MUCH FROM 0Z RUC SOUNDING FROM THE AREA WHICH
COULD ALLOW FOR SLOW MOVING CELLS WITH SOME TRAINING POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED
AREAS.  THESE FACTORS PLUS SOME WEAK/MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENCE LIKELY
AS TROUGH OVER NE NM CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE NEGATIVELY TILTED COULD
PRODUCE SOME RAIN RATES OF 2.0"-2.5"/HR AT TIMES WHICH COULD COMPOUND
ANY FLOODING PROBLEMS CURRENTLY SEEN FROM EARLIER RAINFALL TOTALS.

CHECK WEB ADDRESS BELOW FOR ATTACHED MESSAGE GRAPHIC AND HYDROESTIMATOR
ESTIMATES THROUGH 0030Z.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3689 9395 3612 9181 3345 9453 3309 9792 3531 9709
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