ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/05/08 1410Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1402Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...FLORIDA...ALABAMA...
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ATTN WFOS...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAINS FROM MERGERS/TRAINING
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AUTOMATED SATELLITE ESTIMATES LOOKING
ALRIGHT FOR SRN AL/W FL PANHANDLE WITH 2.0"-3.0" OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS
IN MOST AREAS.  HOWEVER...MANUAL ESTIMATES SUGGESTING SOME LOCALIZED
AREAS IN SRN MOBILE COUNTY HAVE SEEN UP TO 3.75"-4.0" IN THAT 3 HR
TIME PERIOD FROM 1015Z-1315Z.  MANUAL ESTIMATES ALSO SHOWING VERY HEAVY
RAINS OVER ERN BALDWIN COUNTY IN AL AND ESCANTIA/SANTA ROSA COUNTIES IN
FL WITH 3.5"-4.0" BETWEEN 1145Z-1345Z WITH SW ESCAMBIA/SE SANTA ROSA
NEAR THE COUNTY BORDER SEEING 3.0" BETWEEN 1215Z-1315Z WITH A CELL
MERGER/STATIONARY OVERSHOOTING TOP.

WHILE FOCUS LOOKS TO SHIFT MORE TOWARDS THE WEST AS THE MORNING
CONTINUES...SOME AREAS IN MOBILE COUNTY COULD SEE ANOTHER 1.0"-2.0"
FROM COLD TOPS SEEN JUST TO THE WEST IN JACKSON COUNTY IN SRN MS.

EXPECTING FOCUS OF THE CONVECTION LOOKS TO CONTINUE TO VERY SLOWLY
MOVE EWD INTO THE CNTRL FL PANHANDLE THROUGH THE MORNING AS THE FRONT
CONTINUES TO CRAWL EAST AND CELLS FROM COLD TOP COMPLEX OFFSHORE BEGIN
TO MOVE INTO THE FL PANHANDLE.  ORIENTATION OF THE CONVECTION AND VERY
LITTLE WIND SHEAR PER 12Z KTLH RAOB SUGGESTING THAT CELL TRAINING IS
LIKELY IN MANY AREAS FROM MOBILE COUNTY EWD INTO THE CNTRL FL PANHANDLE.
WITH PW VALUES RANGING FROM 1.5"-1.7" PER GOES SOUNDER/GPS EXPECTING
GENERAL 2.0"/HR RAIN RATES...HOWEVER GIVEN CONVECTION OFFSHORE MENTIONED
EARLIER...AREAS IN FL PANHANDLE COULD SEE RATE UP TO 3.0"-4.0"/HR RATES
AT TIMES WITH ANY MERGERS/STATIONARY CELLS.

SEE WEB IN APPROX 15 MIN FOR ATTACHED HYDROESTIMATOR ESTIMATES AND
MESSAGE GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3191 8629 3080 8503 2971 8727 3029 8952 3186 8714
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