ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
VAZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 04/04/08 1902Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1845Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...SW VIRGINIA...S WEST VIRGINIA...C TENNESSEE...
LOCATIONS...C AND SE KENTUCKY...
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ATTN WFOS...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...OHX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...OVERRUNING WITH WAVE...MODERATE PRECIP...NOT QUITE ENOUGH TO GO
MUCH PAST FF GUIDANCE VALUES...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...MAIN POSITIVE TILTED TROUGH FAR TO
THE WEST FROM WI TO CENTRAL TEXAS...SO HAVE TO DECIDE IF SHORT WAVES
AHEAD OF TROUGH WILL REACH FAR ENOUGH NORTH TO PRODUCE HIGHER RAIN RATES
WITH OVERRUNNING TYPE PRECIP.  DEEPER MOISTURE AND BOUNDARIES GENERALLY
STAYING SOUTH FROM LA THRU MS...N ALABAMA AND EASTERN TN...SO HAVE BEEN
LOOKING FOR A TREND WITH UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVES TO FORCE MOISTURE NORTH
OF BOUNDARY AND PRODUCE ENOUGH STEADY MODERATE RAIN FOR POTENTIAL FLOOD
PROBLEMS.  BEST OVERRUNNING WITH A BAROCLINIC LEAF SIGNATURE IN
CENTRAL TN THRU S CENTRAL TO SE KY WITH CENTRAL AND E CENTRAL KY ON THE
FRINGES OF LEAF AND MODERATE PRECIP.  TREND WILL BE A LITTLE FARTHER
NORTH LIFT TO THIS PRECIP IN KY AHEAD OF SHORT WAVE TRACKING THRU
NE AR.  LEAF WILL BE PUSHING MORE EAST ACROSS W TN AS DEEPE MOISTURE
THERE TRACKS EAST.  SO MARGINAL FLOOD/FF AREA SEEMS TO BE IN KENTUCKY
THRU EVENING...ISOLATED POSSIBLE WHERE GUIDANCE VALUES THE LOWEST IN C
TN AS WAVE'S MOISTURE MOVES AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE SATELLITE GRAPHICAL ANALYSIS PRODUCT ON
HOME PAGE AT ADDRESS BELOW...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3827 8101 3778 8078 3552 8497 3537 8789 3647 8752
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