ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/31/08 1837Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1825Z	DS
1 HR HYDROESTIMATOR AMOUNTS THROUGH 1800Z
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LOCATION...CENTRAL/SW MISSOURI...NW ARKANSAS...CENTRAL/NE OKLAHOMA...SE
KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...TSA...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...TRAINING CELLS AND MERGERS OCCURRING
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...APPROACHING S/WV SEEN IN WV IMAGERY IS
QUICKLY ENHANCING CELL ACTIVITY ACROSS CENTRAL/NE OK INTO SW MO. OF MAJOR
CONCERN RIGHT NOW IS THE FACT THAT CELLS ARE MERGING TOGETHER INTO A
SINGLE LINE INSTEAD OF THE TWO LINE STRUCTURE THAT STARTED OUT IN OK. IR
IMAGERY SHOWS CLOUDS TOPS OF -64C TO -67C HAVE ALREADY COME TOGETHER BUT
VIS/RADAR/LIGHTNING DATA STILL INDICATE THAT THE CORES OF THE CELLS ARE
SEPARATE..AT LEAST FOR THE MOMENT. THESE CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW
THE MEAN LOW/MID LVL FLOW NEWD INTO SW MO CAUSING TRAINING OF CELLS AND
VERY HVY RAINFALL WITH THE 50KT LLJ STILL PULLING RICH MOISTURE INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE FRNT TO THE E WILL ALLOW FOR HVY
RAINFALL AS WELL. ALSO S OF THE MERGING CELLS IN S CENTRAL OK/N CENTRAL
TX..LI'S HAVE GREATLY INCREASED AND CNVTN IS BEGINNING TO INITIATE WHICH
WILL FEED INTO THE BACK END OF THE CELLS ALREADY OVER CENTRAL/NE OK.
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ESTIMATE THAT RAINFALL RATES OVER THE PAST HR HAVE BEEN BETWEEN 1.5-2"/30
MIN. WITH RAINFALL MANUAL ESTIMATES OF 1-1.25" FROM 1715-1815Z AND UP
TO 2" WHERE MERGERS HAVE OCCURRED. HYDROESTIMATOR SHOWED 1 HR AMOUNTS OF
0.6-1" FROM OKMULGEE TO CRAIG/OTTAWA COUNTIES BUT SEEMS A BIT UNDERDONE
AND IS NOT ACCOUNTING FOR MERGERS. ONE MERGER IS NOW OCCURRING OVER S
ROGERS/WAGONER/MAYES COUNTY AND MORE ARE LIKELY NE OF HERE AND ALSO SW
ALONG THE FRONTAL BNDRY. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR ESTIMATE GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3811 9386 3742 9270 3565 9509 3607 9622
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