ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/31/08 1243Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1215Z    CW
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LOCATION...W MISSOURI...NE OKLAHOMA...SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...SLOW MOVING CLUSTER OF TSTMS STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...THE CLUSTER OF TSTMS THAT HAS BEEN
SLOWLY MOVING NEWD ACROSS OK IS STILL PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AT
THIS HOUR OVER NE OK.  STLT TRENDS APPEAR TO HINT THAT THIS COMPLEX OF
CONVECTION MAY BE UNDERGOING SOME WEAKENING AS CLOUD TOP TEMPS IN RECENT
IR IMAGERY SHOWS SOME WARMING..PARTICULARLY ALONG THE SW SIDE..WHERE
RAINFALL RATES HAVE BEEN THE GREATEST DURING THE DURATION OF THE EVENT.
HYDROESTIMATOR 3-HR RAINFALL ESTIMATES ENDING AT 1215Z INDICATE 2.4" MAX
OVER OSAGE COUNTY.  AS THE COMPLEX CONTINUES ON ITS NEWD TRAJECTORY IT
WILL BE MOVING FURTHER AWAY FROM THE BEST SFC MOISTURE CONVERGENCE PER
12Z SFC ANALYSIS.  HOWEVER THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO HOLD TOGETHER
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS A CONTINUED INFLOW OF GULF MOISTURE
WITH A PERSISTENT SW LLJ 50-60 KTS..AND GOOD UPPER LVL DIFFLUENCE BETWEEN
SUBTROPICAL AND POLAR JETS..AS THEY IMPACT PORTIONS OF SE KS..W MO..NE OK
THIS MORNING.  GOES SOUNDER DERIVED PW VALUES HAVE DROPPED SLIGHTLY FROM
6-HR AGO TO AROUND 1.0" ACROSS OK.  CURRENT THOUGHT IS SLOW WEAKENING
OF THE COMPLEX WILL CONTINUE OVER THE MID-MORNING HOURS WITH RAIN RATES
BETWEEN 1-2"/HR..AT LEAST FOR THE NEXT 1-2 HRS..AFFECTING CRAIG..OTTAWA
COUNTIES IN OK AND NEWTON..JASPER..LAWRENCE..GREENE..DADE..BARRY..STONE
COUNTIES IN SW MO FROM THE SW SIDE OF THE COMPLEX.  RATES SHOULD THEN
LESSEN AS THESE STORMS REACH CENTRAL MO LATER THIS MORNING.
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PLEASE CHECK WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN 10 MINS FOR RAINFALL EST GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3886 9486 3756 9264 3614 9517 3672 9663
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