ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
OHZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/19/08 1509Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1445Z
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LOCATION...S OHIO...W TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...S INDIANA...
LOCATION...S ILLINOIS...SE MISSOURI...
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ATTN WFOS...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...
ATTN WFOS...LSX...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...
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RESENT FOR CORRECTIONS TO WORD IN 2ND SENTENCE/CHANGED ESTIMATE TIME
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EVENT...MOD RAINS AFFECTING HARD HIT FLOOD AREAS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LOW HAS QUICKLY
EJECTED ACROSS TX AND IS NOW MOVING THROUGH NW AR TO THE NE. WELL
PRONOUNCED DRY SLOT HAS DVLPD BEHIND THE FRNT WHICH STRETCHES UP INTO
SE MO/W TN/W KY. 12Z PW ANALYSIS ALONG WITH GOES SOUNDER INDICATE THE
MOISTURE AXIS STRETCHES NEWD FROM SE MS/SW AL TWDS PITTSBURGH/PA WITH
SOME OF THE MOISTURE STILL WRAPPING AROUND TWDS THE UPPER LOW INVOF WRN
TN/W KY/S IL/S MO. PW VALUES OF UP TO 1.2" NEARLY REACH THE OH/PA BORDER
AS STRONG 850MB FLOW OF 50-70 KTS PULL THE GULF MOISTURE NWD ALONG WITH
SUBSTANTIAL WAA.
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SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES A SFC LOW IN NE MS..THOUGH IT IS ON THE ERN EDGE
OF THE DRY SLOT..LOW LEVEL WRAP AROUND FLOW IS STILL ALLOWING FOR MOD
MOISTURE TO BE PULLED INTO W TN/W KY. WITH THE INSTABILITY IN THE AREA
DUE TO THE SFC LOW..VERY WARM TOPPED CELLS HAVE FORMED WHICH WILL BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF LIKELY MOD RAINFALL TO W/N CENTRAL TN AND WRN KY. VIS
IMAGERY IS BEGINNING TO INDICATE INCREASINGLY HEAVIER RAINS AND MORE CU TO
THE NW AND N IN SE MO/S IL AS THE ENTIRE SYSTEM LIFTS TO THE NE. BELIEVE
THESE WARM TOP CELLS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MOD RAINS ACROSS THE RAIN
SOAKED AREAS OF SE MO/S IL/S IN/ W KY OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HRS. WRAP AROUND
MOISTURE DOES SEEM TO BE WEAKENING THOUGH AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES WITH
THE FRNT PUSHING FARTHER AWAY FROM THE UPPER LOW.
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THERE HAS ALSO BEEN AN AREA FROM CENTRAL KY NEWD TO SW WV WHERE WARM TOP
CELLS..BETWEEN -45 TO -49C..HAVE TRAINED OVER THE PAST FEW HRS. THOUGH
NOT NEARLY AS HARD HIT AS THE AREAS TO W AND NW..3 HR AUTOMATED ESTIMATES
ENDING 1445Z INDICATE A THIN STRIPE OF 0.5" RAINFALL FROM LINCOLN COUNTY
KY TO MASON COUNTY WV WITH A MAX OF 1" OVER MADISON/CLARK COUNTIES IN
KY. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHICS IN ABOUT 10 MIN.

SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4005 8245 3832 8304 3560 8905 3724 9069 3983 8541
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