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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/19/08 0759Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0745Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...W AND C PENNSYLVANIA...NW WEST VIRGINIA...
LOCATION...SW TO C OHIO...W AND C TENNESSEE...W AND NW KENTUCKY...
LOCATION...SW TO CENTRAL INDIANA...S ILLINOIS...N MISSISSIPPI...
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ATTN WFOS...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...LMK...IWX...OHX...IND...BMX...
ATTN WFOS...HUN...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...
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EVENT...ON-GOING HEAVY RAIN AND FF AREA...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST GOES-12 WATER VAPOR LOOP OUT OF
ECLIPSE CONTINUES TO SHOW TREND OF UPPER LOW NOW IN N CENTRAL TEXAS
QUICKENING THE PACE AND LIFTING NE IN RESPONSE TO HIGH CLOUDS COMING
ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND ROCKIES FROM WX DISTURBANCE IN THE EAST PACIFIC.
THIS VERY QUICKLY HAS WARMED THE CLOUD TOPS ACROSS S MO AND AR AND KICKED
MAIN CONVECTIVE BAND ASSOCIATED WITH CONVEYOR BELT OF HIGHEST MOISTURE
ACROSS MS...W TN AND W KY...SE ILLINOIS/SW INDIANA.
FOR THE MOST PART...EXPECTING TREND OF DECREASING RAIN RATES SE MO...
ARKANSAS AND DECREASING RAIN AMOUNTS SHIFTING EAST ACROSS S ILLINOIS AND
FAR W KY NEXT FEW HRS.  BEST PW MOISTURE HAS SHIFTED TO A CENTRAL MS TO
C KY AREA AND FROM THERE FOLLOWING ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF OHIO RIVER.
COLD TOP CONVECTION WILL KEEP HVY RAIN GOING ANOTHER HR OR SO
SE ILLINOIS AND SW INDIANA AND NW TO N CENTRAL KY THRU MID TO LATE MORNING
FOR FF THREAT CONTINUING THERE.  CAN EXPECT 1 INCH PER 1-2HRS AND 2 INCHES
PER 2-4 HOURS AS BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT CONTINUES TO IMPORT 1.5" TO 1.75"
PW VALUES INTO AREA AND REPLENISHES HVY RAINFALL BEING DEPOSITED OVER FF
THREAT AREAS.  EXPECT SE AND E CENTRAL INDIANA INTO SW AND CENTRAL OHIO
COUNTIES TO CONTINUE TO GET HVY RAINFALL THRU MORNING...BUT AM EXPECTING
A QUICKENING PACE OF SHORT WAVES AND EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF MOIST BOUNDARY
SO THAT BELEIVE NCEP HPC IDEA OF LOWERING RAIN AMOUNTS LATER TODAY
LOOKS GOOD AS PER DEVELOPMENTS GOING ON WITH CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS.
FF THREAT WILL INCREASE C TN AND
C KY AS CONVECTIVE BAND MOVES EAST THIS MORNING...BUT THESE AREAS HAVE
NOT HAD THE BENEFIT OF BEING IN THE MOIST BOUNDARY TO THEIR NORTH WHERE
FF THREAT IS HIGHER BASED ON WHAT HVY AMOUNTS THAT HAVE ALREADY FALLEN.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...SEE GRAPHICAL PRODUCT OF SATELLITE ANALYSIS
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4147 7982 4053 7967 3863 8439 3393 8840 3522 8874 3865
8908 4049 8632
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