ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/18/08 1402Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1345Z   CW

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LOCATION...S MISSOURI...N ARKANSAS...NE OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...TRAINING OF CONVECTIVE CELLS ARE EXPECTED
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AN AREA OF CONVECTIVE CELLS LOCATED OVER
NW AR ARE SLOWLY PROGRESSING TO THE N/NE.  IR IMAGERY SHOWS CLOUD-TOP
TEMPS OVER THE PAST HOUR HAVE BEEN COOLING AND EXPANDING OVER NORTHERN
AR..WITH OVERSHOOTING TOPS BEING OBSERVED IN LATEST VIS.  WV ANIMATION
AND STLT WINDS DEPICT A STRONG 120-140KT JET STREAK  POSITIONED OVER MO
NE THRU IA AND N IL.  RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION JET DYNAMICS APPEAR TO BE
STRONGEST OVER SE KS/W MO AND SHOULD PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LIFT TO CELLS
MOVING SEWD OUT OF NE OK.  ANALYSIS OF 13Z SFC AND 850MB THAE FIELDS
INDICATED VERY TIGHT SW-NW ORIENTED MOISTURE GRADIENT IS STRETCHED FROM
SE OK THRU N AR AND INTO S MO.  A PERSISTANT 50-60KT LLJ AT 850MB IS
PROVIDING VERY GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT OF GULF MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH.
12Z PW ANALYSIS SHOWS LL MOISTURE POOLED FROM E/NE TX INTO S IL WITH PW
VALUES RANGING FROM 1.2-1.5" (MAX PW OVER E TX).
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AN ENHANCED AREA OF COLDER CLOUD-TOP TEMPS ARE CURRENTLY SEEN OVER SE
MO..PRODCING HVY RAINFALL.  HYDROESTIMATOR STLT RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR
THE PAST 3-HR ENDING AT 13Z INDICATE AN AREA OF 1.9-2.3" HAVE FALLEN
INVOF OREGON..SHANNON..REYNOLDS..CARTER..WAYNE..IRON..MADISON COUNTIES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED ONCE DEVELOPING CELLS OVER THE
OZARKS FEED INTO THESE SAME COUNTIES.
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SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR ESTIMATE GRAPHIC IN 10 MINS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3828 9070 3692 8942 3486 9449 3663 9549
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