ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/18/08 0648Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 0630Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...S ILLINOIS...S MISSOURI...N ARKANSAS...OKLAHOMA...
LOCATION...EXT SE KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY CONTINUES NORTH ACROSS E OK AND AR...
HIGHLIGHTING FF AREA C TO NE OK  THRU S MO/FAR N AR INTO S IL NEXT
FEW HRS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...TWO DISTINCT MOISTURE PLUMES FROM
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO.  ONE ALIGNED ALONG 91/92W PROVIDING GOOD MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INTO N CENTRAL AR/S CENTRAL TO SE MO INTO IL.  SECOND MOISTURE
PLUME ALONG THE FAR WESTERN GULF/E TX AREA PROVIDING GOOD MOISTURE
TRANSPORT INTO STORMS ACROSS C OK INTO NE OK AND MERGING WITH OTHER
PLUME'S MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS S MO.  SLIGHT DRY AREA ADVECTION NOTED
IN PW LOOP ACROSS N MO AND LIFT NORTHWARD OF CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY FAR N
AR/EXT S MO...HELPING TO PUT SQUEEZE ON BOUNDARY CENTERED FAR N AR AND
S MO.  THIS NARROWING OF DEEP MOISTURE HELPING TO CONTINUE TO CONCENTRATE
HIGHEST MOISTURE OUTPUT ACROSS S MO AND WITH BOUNDARY NOW ORIENTED SW TO
NE AND IN UPPER FLOW CAN HAVE EVEN A BETTER OPPORTUNITY FOR LOCALIZED
TRAINING CELLS TO CONTINUING HVY RAIN BURSTS OF 1-2 INCHES PER 2-4HRS.
THIS WILL BE THE CASE FROM NE OK...NW  TO FAR N CENTRAL OK ABD ACROSS
EXT SE KS COUNTY OF CHEROKEE THRU SW AND REST OF S MO COUNTIES CENTERED
FROM JASPER TO JEFFERSON COUNTY.  FLOW WILL SPREAD TRAINING CELLS ACROSS
S ILLINOIS COUNTIES CENTERED ST CLAIR TO CRAWFORD COUNTY...SO MAY BE
A SLIGHT UPTICK IN FF POTENTIAL THOSE ILLINOIS COUNTIES NEXT FEW HRS.
IMPULSE BEING EJECTED ACROSS C OK WILL BE MERGING WITH COOL TOP CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX LIFTING NORTH NE OK/N AR INTO S MO AND WILL ONLY CONTINUE HVY
RAIN AND FF S MO REST OF TONIGHT.
WILL ALSO BE KEEPING AN EYE ON ANY EJECTING OF CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES BACK
IN C TO INTERIOR W TX FOR ADDITIONAL CONTRIBUTIONS TO HVY RAIN/FF
SITUATION FOR S MO DURING THE DAY TUES.   WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...

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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3942 8775 3730 8933 3608 9016 3546 9327 3466 9713 3585
9711 3695 9490 3827 9107
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