ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/17/08 1245Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1215Z   CW
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LOCATION...W MISSOURI...E KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...HVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH BAROCLINIC LEAF
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...GOES IR IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED
BAROCLINIC LEAF CLOUD SIGNATURE OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN PORTIONS OF KS AND
N/CENTRAL OK.  SOME CLOUD TOP COOLING AND EXPANSION HAS BEEN NOTED IN THE
PAST HOUR AS THE BAROCLINIC LEAF TRAVELS NEWD TOWARD NW/W MO.  IR IMAGERY
INDICATED THE COLDEST CLOUD-TOP TEMPS AS OF 1145Z ARE NEAR -68C INVOF
COFFEY..ANDERSON..ALLEN..WOODSON COUNTIES IN E KS.  MANUAL STLT ESTIMATE
TECHNIQUE SUGGESTS RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION TO BE
BETWEEN 1.0-1.5"/HR.  HYDROESTIMATOR FOR THE PAST 3-HRS ENDING AT 12Z
SHOWS AN AREA OF 1.5" WITH IMBEDDED MAXIMUMS OF 2.1" OVER THE COUNTIES
OF MAJOR..WOODS IN N/CENTRAL OK AND BARBER COUNTY IN S/CENTRAL KS.
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A FAST MOVING WAVE OF ENERGY IS SEEN IN THE RECENT GOES WV
ANIMATION..TRAVELING NEWD ACROSS E CO AND W KS.  ADDITIONALLY,
GULF MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH IS BEING TRANSPORTED NWD BY A STRONG
50+KT LOW-LEVEL JET INDICATED BY 850MB STLT WINDS AND 12Z RAOBS.
THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO FACTORS SHOULD ALLOW THE HVY RAINFALL TO
CONTINUE AS THE CONVECTION MOVES INTO W MO OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
SINCE THE CONVECTION HAS BEEN RELATIVE PROGRESSIVE IN ITS MOVEMENT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1.5-2.0" IS EXPECTED FOR THE DISCUSSION AREA..WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4043 9462 3965 9259 3746 9455 3836 9698
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