ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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TXZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/17/08 1002Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0945Z KUSSELSON
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LOCATION...N CENTRAL TEXAS...C TO SE OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...TSA...FWD...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...SATELLITE FEATURES COMING TOGETHER FOR HPC EXCESSIVE RAIN EVENT
NEXT 24HRS...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SEE HPC EXCESSIVE RAIN AREA FOR THE PERIOD
THRU 12Z MARCH 18.  MAIN UPPER LOW HANGING BACK ACROSS NE ARIZONA...NOT
A WHOLE LOT OF DRIFT EAST OVERNIGHT AS ADDITIONAL JET ENERGY COMING
AROUND WEST SIDE THRU S CA HELPING TO DEEPEN TROUGH AND KEEP LOW FROM
MOVING EAST VERY QUICKLY.  THIS HAS NOT STOPPED SUBTROPICAL JET FROM
SHIFTING EAST ACROSS S BAJA...N OLD MEXICO AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO...AND
AS A RESULT NARROW CONVECTIVE COMPLEX TRIGGERED IN W CENTRAL TX TO THE
PANHANDLE HAS SHIFTED EAST PRETTY QUICKLY INTO W OKLAHOMA.   AT THE SAME
TIME PW MOISTURE HAS DEEPENED ACROSS S TX...SHIFTED A BIT WEST ACROSS
CENTRAL AND INTERIOR W TX AND TRANSPORT PROVIDING FUEL FOR CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX NOW MOVING ACROSS THE SE TX PANHANDLE AND W OK.  WILL FOCUS ON
THIS FEATURE AND RIPPLES OF HIGH LEVEL SHORT WAVES COMING NEWD ON GOES
WATER VAPOR FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND BAJA TO HELP FURTHER DESTABILZE
ATMOSPHERE AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE AND DEEPEN OVER N CENTRAL
TX/C OKLAHOMA DURING THE DAY TODAY.  REL PW MIN LIFTING NORTH THRU
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO ALONG 93-95W/25 TO 28N MAY BRIEFLY HOLD BACK
THE MOISTURE FROM MAKING IT EAST FULLY ACROSS OKLAHOMA...BUT THAT WILL
JUST TIGHTEN THE MOISTURE GRADIENT AND A GIVE ADDITIONAL INSTABILITY AND
LIFT FOR INCRD HVY RAINFALL/FF POTENTIAL IN THE N CENTRAL TX TO CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA AREA LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING....THEN SLOWLY MIGRATE EASTWARD
MONDAY NIGHT.   AGAIN SEE NCEP HPC EXCESSIVE DISCUSSION AND GRAPHICAL
MAP FOR FURTHER DETAILS.    WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3565 9632 3506 9498 3279 9617 3304 9720
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