ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/14/08 0257
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0245Z			DS

LOCATION...N ARKANSAS...E OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...LZK...SGF...TSA...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...ABRFC...
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EVENT...BACKBUILDING WARM TOP CELLS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...S/WV TROF IS SEEN MOVING THROUGH E OK/NE
TX WITH A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS OUT AHEAD IN S MO/AR/N LA. STRENGTHENING
SSWRLY LLJ IS PRESENT FROM EXTREME NE TX THROUGH CENTRAL AR INTO SE MO PER
LATEST PROFILER DATA..NOW AT 30-40 KTS. WARM TOP CELLS IN NW/N CENTRAL
AR HAVE STARTED TO BACKBUILD SWWD INTO THIS MOIST LOW LVL FLOW OVER
AT LEAST TWO AREAS IN NRN AR PER IR STLT SIGNATURE/RADAR LOOPS...ONE
INVOF N MADISON/CARROLL/N WASHINGTON COUNTIES AND THE OTHER INVOF
YELL/POPE/JOHNSON/VAN BUREN COUNTIES. ADDITIONALLY..CELLS HAVE BEGUN
TO FILL IN BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS OF STORMS. THESE STORMS ARE SEEN
BACKBUILDING SE OF AND PARALLEL TO A QUASI-STNRY BDNRY THAT STRETCHES
NEWD FROM ONE SFC LOW IN OK TO S CENTRAL MO. 00Z PW ANALYSIS ALONG WITH
CURRENT GOES SOUNDER INDICATE A THIN PLUME OF 0.8-1" PW'S RUNNING NWD
FROM EXTREME NE TX ALONG THE AR/OK BORDER TO SGF.
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BELIEVE WILL SEE SOME CONTINUED BACKBUILDING TO THE SW AS ANOTHER SFC LOW
MOVES EWD IN SE OK. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES STRONG MOISTURE CNVG
AND THETA-E AXIS FROM EXTREME SE OK INTO N CENTAL AR. THOUGH CURRENTLY
CELLS ARE MOSTLY SEPARATE..SHOULD SEE SOME MERGING AS ADDTL STORM DVLPMT
OCCURS IN WRN AR OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. THE SMALL AMOUNT OF MOIST AIR
MAY LIMIT RATES THOUGH BUT A FEW HRS OF CELLS CONTINUALLY FILLING IN OVER
THE SAME AREAS MAY ALLOW ESTIMATED RAINFALL RATES OF 0.5-1"/HR TO ADD UP.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3695 9271 3600 9160 3434 9351 3577 9490
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