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MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/08/08 1834Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1815Z		DS
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LOCATION...MAINE...MASSACHUSETTS...NEW HAMPSHIRE...RHODE ISLAND...
LOCATION...VERMONT...CONNECTICUT...SE NEW YORK...NEW JERSEY...
LOCATION...E PENNSYLVANIA...
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ATTN WFOS...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC...
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RESENT FOR MULTIPLE CORRECTIONS
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EVENT...HVY RAINS MOVING UP FROM THE DELMARVA ACROSS ERN PA/SE NY INTO
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...HVY RAINS ARE MOVING NWD FROM THE DELMARVA
PENN ACROSS THE E PA/NJ AREA IN RESPONSE TO AN ENHANCING S/WV MOVING
UP THE ERN SEABOARD. CLOUD TOPS HAVE ALSO JUST RAPIDLY COOLED OFF OF
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND WITHIN THE MOISTURE PLUME WITH THE PRECIP CONTINUING
TO SURGE NWD AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE E/NE. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS
THETA-E MAX OFF THE VA COAST WITH TIGHTEST GRADIENT RUNNING FROM N MD
TO SE NY/CT AREA AND BEST SFC MOISTURE CNVG FROM DE TO WRN MA TO JUST
S OF THE CENTRAL ME COAST.
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CELLS ARE TRAINING FROM THE ERN SHORE OF MD ACROSS W NJ/E PA TO SE NY
AND NEWD FROM THERE. EXPECT THE HVY RAIN FROM THESE CELLS WILL ALSO
MOVE ACROSS W MA/SRN VT/S AND CENTRAL NH INTO SW ME. ADDITIONAL CNVTN
HAS BEGUN TO FORM OVER E VA THAT WILL PASS ALONG THIS SAME TRACK THOUGH
IT SEEMS THOSE CELLS WILL NOT BRING AS ORGANIZED A MASS OF PRECIP NWD. 3
HR AUTOMATED ESTIMATES GIVE A 1.1" MAX FOR THE PHILADELPHIA AREA AND AT
OR JUST UNDER 1" SO FAR N AND S OF THERE BUT ARE LIKELY UNDERDONE A BIT
DUE TO THE CELLS STARTING OUT AS WARM TOPPED. WITH THE COOLING CLOUD
TOPS THOUGH..CAN EXPECT ESTIMATED RAIN RATES OF 1.25-2"/HR WITH THE
STRONGEST CELLS AS THEY MOVE NWD INTO ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS. RAINFALL
WILL ACCUMULATE QUICKLY DUE TO TRAINING EFFECT OF THE STORMS.
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THE MOD/HVY RAINS NOW MOVING THROUGH MA/CT/RI WERE ESTIMATED AT HAVING
PRODUCED BETWEEN 0.8-1.2" IN 3 HRS WHILE OFFSHORE. WHILE THERE ARE SOME
ENHANCING CELLS TO THE S OF HERE..THEY ARE STILL DUE E OF KOXB IN MD..IT
LOOKS LIKE THE HEAVIEST RAIN AT LEAST FOR THE NEXT 3 HRS WILL RESULTS
FROM THE TRAINING CELLS FARTHER INLAND. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. SEE
WEB ADDRESS FOR 3 HR ESTIMATE GRAPHIC ENDING 1815Z.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4552 6571 3816 7201 4021 7600 4409 7285
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