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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/07/08 1857Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1845Z		DS
DMSP SSMI: 1331Z
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LOCATION...N FLORIDA...SE GEORGIA...
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ATTN WFOS...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...TRAINING CELLS ACROSS NRN FL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CONVECTIVE LINE WHICH HAS BEEN STEADILY
MOVING E/ESEWD ACROSS THE NRN SECTION OF FL HAS BROKEN IN HALF AND
IT APPEARS THAT THE SWRLY PART OF THE LINE WILL TRAIN ACROSS SEVERAL
FL COUNTIES FOR THE NEXT FEW HRS. AS EXPECTED..PREVIOUS CONVECTIVE
WEDGE SAW WARMING CLOUD TOPS AS IT HAS MOVED ACROSS THE NRN PART OF
THE STATE THOUGH THE CELLS HAVE STILL BEEN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HVY
RAINFALL IN THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE. WEAKENING OF THE LINE ACROSS FL
HAS ALLOWED FOR THE OFFSHORE CELLS TO GAIN STRENGTH IN UNDER THE VERY
DIFFLUENT UPPER LVL ZONE SHOWN BY LATEST GOES STLT WINDS. OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS INDICATES TWO TONGUES OF GREATEST THETA-E..ONE ALONG THE S SC
COAST WITH THE OFFSHORE CNVTN AND ONE OVER THE CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE N
OF THE CURRENT STRENGTHENING CELLS. EXPECT HEAVIEST RAINS TO MOVE ALONG
TO THE NE OUT OF THE ERN GULF TWDS KCTY AND ACROSS THE NRN PART OF THE
STATE APPROX BETWEEN KGNV AND KOCF. LIGHTNING PLOT SHOWS A GOOD NUMBER
OF STRIKES CONCENTRATED WITHIN THE COLDEST CNVTN OFFSHORE LEADING INTO
LEVY/S ALACHUA/N MARION COUNTIES AND MORE SCATTERED STRIKES TO THE N
AND W OF THE MAIN LINE WITHIN THE MOD RAINS THAT ARE MOVING JUST E OF TLH.
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MOST RECENT SSMI PASS SHOWED THAT PW VALUES IN THE ERN GOM HAVE INCREASED
TO AROUND 2" AND MOISTURE TO THE E OF THE PLUME OVER CENTRAL FL HAS
INCREASED SLIGHTLY AS WELL TO 1.7" NEAR LK OKEECHOBEE PER GOES SOUNDER/GPS
VALUES. DUE TO WARMING OF CELLS ACROSS N FL..AUTOMATED ESTIMATES ARE
NOT PERFORMING AS WELL AS EARLIER. MANUEL ESTIMATES GIVE MAX RAINFALL
RATES OF .3-.45"/HALF HR CURRENTLY BUT THESE RATES COULD INCREASE A BIT
AS THE BEST UPPER LVL DIFFL ZONE MOVES NEWD AND CNVTN BEGINS TO COME
ASHORE DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS. WITH POSSIBLE TRAINING OF CELLS ACROSS
N FL FROM LEVY TO FLAGLER COUNTIES..COULD SEE 2-3" OF RAIN IN A VERY
SHORT TIME PERIOD. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3196 8220 2920 7981 2733 8371 2906 8570
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