ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
SCZ000-FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/07/08 1408Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1345Z DS
DMSP SSMI: 1120Z NASA TRMM: 0957Z/1127Z
AUTOESTIMATOR THROUGH 1345Z
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LOCATION...SE SOUTH CAROLINA...N FLORIDA...SE GEORGIA...
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ATTN WFOS...CHS...CAE...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...HVY RAINS OVER N FL INTO SE GA/SC
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UPPER LOW IS SEEN ON WV IMAGERY STARTING
TO QUICKLY LIFT TO THE N WITH 12Z STLT WINDS SHOWING A 100 KT JET
MAX HELPING TO PUSH THE SYSTEM NWD OUT OF THE GULF REGION. VERY MOIST
AIR IS IN PLACE OVER N FL AND PARTS OF THE SE COAST WITH PW VALUES OF
1.5-1.75" PER 12Z PW ANALYSIS. MOST RECENT SSMI PASS SHOWED THE PW PLUME
EXTENDING FROM THE CENTER OF THE GOM ACROSS KTLH IN SE GA WITH VALUES UP
TO 1.8". CONVECTIVE WEDGE THAT IS SITUATED FROM JUST S OF KAAF ACROSS
K40J INTO S GA HAS WARMED SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST HR. PER VIS/IR
IMAGERY..LOOKS AS THOUGH A MESOLOW HAS FORMED WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE
WEDGE WHICH IS PROPAGATING EWD FASTER THAN THE REST OF THE CELLS IN THE
MOISTURE PLUME. THIS HAS ALLOWED FOR TSTORMS TO MOVE E OF TLH BUT ALREADY
SEE SIGNS OF CNVTN REFORMING FROM THE SSW THAT SHOULD AGAIN MOVE OVER THE
CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE ONCE THE WEDGE BREAKS OFF..POSSIBLY CENTERED JUST E
OF TLH. CURRENTLY VERY STRONG UPPER LVL DVG IS SHOWN BY GOES SATL WINDS
OVER AND JUST SW OF KLTH/KAAF WHICH WILL HELP TO PROMOTE HVY RAINFALL
REFORMATION IN THE NEXT FEW HRS. ESTIMATED RAINRATES PER LATEST POLAR
DATA INDICATED AREAL AVG RATES OF UP TO 1.2"/HR FROM SSMI AND A PIXEL
OF UP TO 1.7"/HR FROM THE LATEST TRMM PASS AS CELLS WERE COMING ASHORE
NEAR TLH AT 1129Z.
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AUTOMATED ESTIMATES SHOW 2-3" FOR THE LAST 3 HRS OFFSHORE AND 1.5-2"
OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE AND ACROSS N FL INTO SE GA DURING
THE SAME TIME PERIOD. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN ABOUT 10-15 MIN FOR GRAPHIC
AND ESTIMATES. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3305 8345 3277 7884 2904 8228 2868 8683
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