ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/07/08 0317Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0245Z   CW/CK
NOAA AMSU: 2304Z  DMSP SSMI: 0048Z
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LOCATION...FLORIDA...GEORGIA...ALABAMA...MISSISSIPPI...
LOCATION...LOUISIANA...
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ATTN WFOS...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...MOD/HVY RAINS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AREA OF CONVECTIVE STORMS IS SEEN OVER
THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO MOVING NEWD TOWARD SE LA/S MS/S AL/FL
PANHANDLE IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ONSHORE ACRS THE DISCUSSION AREA AS THE
NIGHT PROGRESSES. THE NWRN EDGE HAS ALREADY SPREAD INTO SE LA. THESE
CONVECTIVE STORMS ARE ORIENTED W TO E ALONG A WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND
ARE CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY AS THEY PUSH CLOSER TO SHORE WITH RAPID
EXPANSION AND CLOUD TOP COOLING..RECENT COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPS ARE
NEAR -70C.  THE ATTENDANT MOISTURE PLUME CONTAINING PW VALUES RANGING
FROM 1.5-1.7 SHOWN IN BOTH THE MOST RECENT AMSU (2304Z) AND SSMI (0048Z)
IS SURGING STEADILY NWD. RAINFALL RATES FROM EARLIER MICROWAVE DATA
ALONG WITH MORE RECENT HYDROESTIMATOR ESTIMATES SUGGESTS .75-1.5"/HR.
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MEANWHILE..A SECOND FRONTAL BOUNDARY..PROGESSING EWD ACROSS E TX/W
LA/AR IS PRODUCING MOD/HVY RAINFALL WITH SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS.
THIS SECOND BOUNDARY HAS HAD A HISTORY OF PRODUCING 1-2" OF RAINFALL.
THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM
FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS THE GULF SHOULD IMPACT THE DISCUSSION AREA
OVERNIGHT WITH HVY RAINFALL..WHICH WILL BE FURTHER ENHANCED AS COLD
FRONTAL CONVECTIVE BAND CURRENTLY MOVG EWD ACRS TX/LA/NW GULFMEX MERGES
WITH IT.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3163 9052 3162 8422 2946 8440 2896 9052
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