ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
OKZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/03/08 0119Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12   0100Z  CK
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LOCATION...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...
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EVENT...RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING CNVTN SW TO N CENTRAL OK
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BAND OF CNVTN ALONG COLD FRONT HAS SLOWED
DOWN PER CONCERN OF EARLIER SPENES. AT THE SAME TIME THE INTENSITY HAS
RAPIDLY INCRD..WITH THE MOST INTENSE CNVTN FM NW OF OKC TO VCNTY OF
LTS. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS THIS PORTION IS ALIGNED WITH STRONG SFC
CONVERGENCE BULLSEYE AND MOD 850MB THETA-E ADVECTION CORE. BTWN 2345Z-01Z
CELL MERGERS HAVE OCCURRED OVER KIOWA AND CANADIAN COUNTIES. MANUAL STLT
EST INDICATE OVER 1" HAS FALLEN. NEW CELLS HAVE BEEN FORMING TO THE
SW..OVER JACKSON COUNTY. THUS..CAN EXPECT ADDITIONAL MERGERS AND CELL
TRAINING ACRS THE AREA FM SW TO CENTRAL OK. MOD/HVY RAIN EXTENDS NEWD TO
N CENTRAL OK/S KS..BUT THE NRN PORTION OF THE CNVTN HAS BEEN EDGING EWD.
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BASED ON RECENT STLT IMAGERY TREND AND ANIMATION OVER PAST FEW HRS WOULD
EXPECT ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 2" OR MORE OVER ACRS PARTS OF THE AREA FM SW
TO CENTRAL OK OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS.  ALSO NOTING CELL DEVELOPMENT JUST
W AND SW OF SPS/TX. MOVEMENT IS TWD THE NE..AND IT IS PSBL THAT THIS NW
TX CNVTN WILL MERGE WITH OUTFLOW FM CONVECTIVE BAND OVER OK. THUS..HVY
RAIN MAY SPREAD ACRS S CENTRAL OK AS WELL.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3666 9765 3648 9708 3420 9841 3457 9950 3598 9795
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