ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
LAZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/17/08 0115Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0102Z   LIDDICK
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LOCATION...LOUISIANA...MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...TEXAS...
LOCATION...OKLAHOMA...KANSAS...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...MEG...JAN...LSX...LZK...SGF...LCH...SHV...EAX...
ATTN WFOS...TSA...HGX...ICT...FWD...OUN...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...ELEVATED CONVECTION IN SE TX WITH TILTING IN UPPER LEVELS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...
TEXAS...GOES IMAGERY AND SHOWED ELEVATED CONVECTION DEVELOP IN A LINE FROM
NE WEBB TO BASTROP COUNTY IN SRN TX MARKING THE BOUNDARY OF THE 850 FRONT
WHICH AGREES WITH 0Z RAOBS.  DUE TO ELEVATED NATURE EXPECTING RAINFALL
AMOUNTS TO BE LOWER...HOWEVER CELL MOTION IS SLOWER THAN CONVECTION THAT
MOVED THROUGH EARLIER.  WITH GOES SOUNDER/GPS VALUES STILL SHOWING PW
VALUES OF .9"-1.1" WITH COLDEST CLOUD TOP TEMPS OF  -50C...SOME AREAS
IN ERN/SRN TX COULD SEE SOME RATES 1.0"-1.5"/HR AT TIMES DEPENDING ON
MERGERS/LOCAL LEVEL CONDITIONS.

EXT ERN TEXAS/LOUSIANA/SRN ARKANSAS...AS CONVECTION BEGINS TO MOVE INTO
SRN AK/WRN LA...EXPECTING TO SEE SOME RATES NEAR 1.5"-1.75"/HR AT TIMES
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS GIVEN BETTER MOISTURE AVAILABLE AND COLDER TOPS
OF -64C.

OKLAHOMA/ARKANSAS/SRN MISSOURI...IR IMAGERY ESTIMATING THAT MOST AREAS
IN ERN OK/NEAK/SRN MO HAVE SEEN 1.0"-2.0" OVER THE PAST 3 HOURS...HOWEVER
SOME AREAS COULD HAVE SEEN UP TO 3.0" ESPECIALLY INVOF PUSHMATAHA/LE FLORE
COUNTIES IN SE OK AND BARRY/MCDONALD COUNTIES IN SW MO GIVEN SURGES OF
COLDER TOPS THAT MOVED THROUGH.

WV IMAGERY SHOWING UPPER LOW BEGINNING TO OPEN UP AND TILT NEGATIVELY AS
IT BEGINS A NWD TURN.  LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWING LOW CENTERED  RIGHT
OVER THE AK/OK/TX BORDER AND SHOULD BEGIN TO TRACK NWD IN RESPONSE TO
THE UPPER LEVELS.  WITH THIS TRACK AREAS FROM NE TX TO SRN MO SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SEE A STEADY RAIN NEAR .5"/HR WITH SOME BRIEF BURSTS OF
HEAVIER RATES BETWEEN .75"-1.0"/HR AT TIMES GIVEN THE MOISTURE AVAILABLE.

CHECK WEB IN APPROX 10-15 MIN FOR ATTACHED MESSAGE GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3878 9087 3665 8968 2888 9359 2745 9691 2832 9846 3309
9655 3791 9518
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