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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/16/08 1736Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1715Z GG
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LOCATION...CENTRAL TEXAS...SW OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...ELEVATED TRAINING CELLS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV LOOP SHOWS STRONG 110 PLUS KT
JET STREAK NOW ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE CUT OFF LOW WITH VERY GOOD
EXIT REGION DYNAMICS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE CONCERNED AREA
ATTM...THOUGH IT WILL BE SHIFTING QUICKLY NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD OVER THE
COMING FEW HOURS.  THIS COMBINED WITH INCREASED 850 CONVERGENCE HAS LEAD
TO INCREASINGLY CONGESTED CONVECTION IN A N-S LINE FROM KJCT TO KLAW BUT
OVER A WIDE AREA AT LEAST 3-4 TEXAS COUNTIES WIDE. VIS IMAGERY SHOWS THE
850 FRONT/MOISTURE BOUNDARY THAT IS FURTHER WEST FROM KSNK TO THE BIG
BEND AREA. SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY HAS GOOD MOISTURE FLUX
NORTHWARD...BUT THE DEEPEST MOISTURE IS MUCH FURTHER EASTWARD ACROSS E
TX AND WITH LIMITED EASTWARD FLOW...TAPPING THE MOISTURE WILL BE VERY
UNLIKELY...SO PWS OF .7 TO .8" ARE ALL THAT THE STORMS CAN WORK WITH.
STILL IN PRE-BOUNDARY AREA...CELL MOTION IS NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE
ORIENTATION OF THE CONVECTION...SO TRAINING IS POSSIBLE FOR INCREASED
TOTALS THOUGH STORM SPEED AND MOISTURE AVAILABILITY WILL PRECLUDE AND
FF SITUATIONS.  TOPS HAVE COOLED TO -50C OVER WILLBARGER AND TILLMAN
COUNTIES ALONG THE RED RIVER AND SHACKELFORD COUNTY...WHERE EXPANSION
AND MERGERS HAVE OCCURRED...STILL RATES BROADLY LESS THAN 1.0"/HR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3509 9961 3496 9803 3100 9860 3065 9999
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