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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/16/08 0720Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0715Z  CW
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LOCATION...TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...
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ATTN WFOS...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...MOD/HEAVY RAINS FROM DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE CELLS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CURRENT CONVECTIVE CELLS MOVING
NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL TX WITH MANUALLY DERIVED SATELLITE
RAIN RATES OF 0.50"-1.0"/HR. GOES 12 WV SHOWS A ANOMALOUSLY DEEP CUTOFF
LOW SPINNING INVOF THE BORDER OF S AZ/S NM WITH A LEAD VORTICITY LOBE
LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD INTO E TX.  ADDITIONALLY, LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
BEING ADVECTED INTO CENTRAL TX BY A NW TO SE ORIENTED LLJ STRETCHING FROM
CENTRAL TO SE TX PER VAD AND PROFILER DATA WITH GOES DERIVED PW VALUES
BETWEEN 1.00-1.25" ALONG THE AXIS OF THIS LLJ. THE CONCERN IS FOR FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION OF THESE CONVECTIVE CELLS PRODUCING CONTINUED MOD/HEAVY
RAINS/FREEZING RAINS. THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET AND
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO HELP DEVELOP AND
EXPAND THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL/FREEZING RAIN OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS.
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CURRENT MESOANALYSIS SHOWS THAT SURFACE FREEZING LINE RUNS FROM JUST EAST
OF ABI TO F05 AND THEN NE TO ABOUT 20 MILES SE OF DUC.  TO THE NORTHWEST
OF THIS AXIS LOCALLY MODERATE TO HEAVY AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN SHOULD
CONTINUE ON THE SHORT TERM WHICH COULD CAUSE AREAS OF SIGNIFICANT ICING.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3489 9983 3484 9874 3450 9756 3394 9659 3363 9640 3297
9679 3252 9758 3274 9853 3291 9999 3301 10109 3303
10178 3345 10219 3392 10214 3443 10160 3467 10083
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