ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NDZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/13/08 1921Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  1915Z CK
.
LOCATION...NORTH DAKOTA...
.
ATTN WFOS...FGF...BIS...
ATTN RFCS...NCRFC...MBRFC...
.
EVENT...BAROCLINIC LEAF INCRG ALONG CANADA/ND BORDER..MOD/HVY SNOW
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SINCE 1645Z G12 IR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN
BAROCLINIC LEAF FORMATION ALONG THE CANANDA/ND BORDER..WITH SRN FRINGE
INVOF MOT. WV AND IR IMAGERY SHOWS DISTINCT VORT CENTER OVR NE CORNER
OF MT..MOVG SE..WITH UPPR TROF EXTENDING SWWD TO NV. THE COMBINATION
OF LIFT ASSOCD WITH VORT..AS WELL AS UPPR DIFFLUENCE PER GOES WIND
ANALYSIS..WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT/
ENHANCEMENT OF THIS LEAF. ADDITIONALLY..MODELS SHOW DECENT 850MB THETA-E
ADVECTION OVER ND...WITH MAX CENTERED CLOSE TO MOT.
.
WV IMAGERY ANIMATION SHOWS UPPR TROF IS MOVG SEWD..WITH STRONGEST PUSH
OVER NV. THIS HAS RESULTED IN TROF TAKING ON A MORE NEG..SW-NE..TILT
OVER TIME. THUS..WHILE ALLOWING FOR LEAF WITH MOD/HVY SNOW TO PROGRESS
EWD/SEWD..WOULD ANTICIPATE FURTHER EXPANSION OF COVERAGE AS GOES WIND
ANALYSIS AND WV IMAGERY TRENDS SHOW JET STREAK POISED TO MOVE NEWD ACRS
ND FM SW-NE.
.
SEE ANNOTATED GRAPHIC AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN APPX 10 MINUTES.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 4969 10337 4939 9769 4683 9778 4719 10292
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-