ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NYZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/11/08 2057Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED:GOES-12: 2045Z		DS
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LOCATION...W NEW YORK...
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ATTN WFOS...BGM...BUF...ALY...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...
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EVENT...MULTIPLE LES BANDS ACROSS LK ONTARIO..ONE STARTING TO LIFT NWD
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST VIS IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL SNOW
BANDS ACROSS LK ONTARIO CURRENTLY WITH THE STRONGEST STILL ACROSS THE
SRN EDGE OF THE LK. MOST OF THE BANDS HAD PREVIOUSLY BEEN MERGED INTO
A SINGLE BAND THAT WAS AFFECTING THE SERN SECTION OF THE LK. SLIGHTLY
MORE WRLY SFC WIND AT 20Z COMPARED WITH THE PREVIOUS 2 HRS ACROSS THE N
CENTRAL PART OF THE LK HAS ALLOWED FOR THE MORE NRN SNOW BAND TO LIFT N OF
KFZY AND EXPECT THAT WITHIN A FEW HRS WILL END UP ALONG OR JUST N OF THE
OSWEGO/JEFFERSON COUNTY BORDER. NAM IN BUFKIT APPEARS TO HAVE A PRETTY
GOOD HANDLE ON THE FCST WINDS ACROSS THE LK WITH WRLY/WNWRLY LOW LVL
WINDS BECOMING MORE SHEARED ABOVE 850MB AS THE EVENING GOES ON. THIS IS IN
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RECENT SATL TRENDS AND LATEST SFC OBS. BELIEVE
SRN BAND..WHICH STILL CONSISTS OF MULTIPLE BANDS OVER WRN LK ONTARIO AND
CONVERGES INTO ONE N OF KROC..SHOULD MAINTAIN A MOSTLY W-E ORIENTATION
MOVING THE SERN END OF THE BAND INTO CENTRAL OSWEGO COUNTY NEXT FEW HRS.
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WITH SEPARATING OF TWO MAIN SNOW BANDS..SNOWFALL RATES HAVE LIKELY
DECREASED AT LEAST A LITTLE. INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR WILL ALSO HELP TO
LIMIT RATES BUT STILL CAN HAVE SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2"/HR..ESPECIALLY AFTER
THE BANDS GET REALIGNED. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR GRAPHIC IN ABOUT 10-15 MIN.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4417 7856 4394 7522 4316 7549 4347 7857
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