ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES NYZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/11/08 0738Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0732Z GG . LOCATION...N NEW YORK... . ATTN WFOS...BGM...BUF... ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC... . EVENT...CONTINUED LES . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE BEGUN TO WARM ACROSS MOST OF THE LES PLUME OVER THE LAKE... THIS IS MAINLY DUE TO TWO FACTORS. THE FIRST CAN BE SEEN ON WV LOOP AND SAT WINDS WITH MID LEVEL FLOW OUT OF THE NW WHILE SFC FLOW STILL REMAINS DUE WESTERLY BREAKING THE NEARLY PERFECT UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE DEPTH OF THE PLUME. THE SECOND IS MID-LEVEL WARMING THAT IS SINKING AND LOWERING THE LAKE INVERSION LEVEL/EL FROM THE ~13K FT RANGE TO BELOW 10K FT. WITH THE WARMING TOPS SATELLITE ESTIMATED RATES ARE STILL ABOUT 2"/HR ACROSS S OSWEGO AND NW ONEIDA COUNTIES...BUT AS THE WARMING CONTINUES TO PROGRESS INLAND...RATES WILL DECREASE TO AROUND 1" OR LESS AS THE INVERSION STRENGTHENS AND SINKS OVER THE NEXT 3-6". PLUME DIRECTION WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT TOWARD THE SW...BUT WILL BIFURCATE WITH THE INCREASED DIRECTIONAL SHEAR. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 4385 7776 4353 7521 4281 7527 4348 7785 . NNNN