ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
NYZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/11/08 0027Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G12  0015Z  CK
.
LOCATION...NEW YORK...
.
ATTN WFOS...ALY...BGM...BUF...
ATTN RFCS...NERFC...
.
EVENT...LAKE ONTARIO LES CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...STNRY E OF LAKE
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...SINCE PREVIOUS SPENES MESSAGE..COVERAGE
OF COOLING CLOUD TOPS HAS CONTINUED TO EXPAND FM S CENTRAL LAKE ONTARIO
THRU S JEFFERSON/OSWEGO COUNTIES THRU N HERKIMER COUNTY. COLDEST CLOUD
TOPS ARE OVER OSWEGO COUNTY..AND HAVE COOLED ANOTHER 3 DEG TO -38C IN
THE PAST COUPLE OF HRS. STLT EST INDICATE RATES BTWN 1-3"/HR..WITH THE
HEAVIEST INVOF NW OSWEGO COUNTY.
.
ON THE SYNOPTIC SCALE...12 HR WV/IR ANIMATION SHOWS THAT UPPR LOW N OF
LAKE MI THIS MORNING HAS MOVED SEWD AND IS NOW E OF GEORGIAN BAY. AS A
RESULT..FLOW TURNED NWRLY ACRS LAKE HURON AND SHIFTED WRN PORTION OF LES
BAND SWD INTO NIAGARA AND ORLEANS COUNTIES. HOWEVER..ERN PART OF PLUME
OVER E LAKE ONTARIO EWD TO HAMILTON COUNTY HAS EXPANDED FURTHER EWD BUT
REMAINED NEARLY STNRY OVER THE PAST 2-3 HRS. ERN PART OF PLUME MAY SHIFT
A BIT SWD OVER TIME PER PER NWRLY FLOW AROUND UPPR LOW. HOWEVER..LATEST
IMAGERY IS SHOWING THAT WRN PORTION OF THE PLUME IS BEGINNING TO EXPAND
ONCE AGAIN..NWD..IN RESPONSE TO PLUMES FEEDING IN FM LAKE HURON/GEORGIAN
BAY. THIS WILL LIKELY FURTHER STRENGTHEN AND EXPAND THE PLUME OVERALL.
.
15 MINUTE IR LOOP ANIMATION SHOWS IMPULSE MOVING EWD ACRS CENTRAL LAKE
ONTARIO. WHILE THIS TOO MAY NUDGE THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF THE PLUME OVER E
LAKE ONTARIO/W NY A BIT S..IT WILL ALSO REINFORCE OR EVEN FURTHER ENHANCE
THIS AREA AS WELL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HRS. WITH THE RECENT TREND..CAN
SEE THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LCLZD 3"PLUS/HR RATES OVER OSWEGO COUNTY.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 4392 7681 4388 7500 4340 7488 4324 7779 4331 7882
.
NNNN