ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/05/08 2222Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 2215Z RUMINSKI . LOCATION...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...ARKANSAS... . ATTN WFOS...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA... ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC... . EVENT...HEAVY RAIN WITH CONVECTIVE TRENDS FOR NEXT FEW HOURS . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...GOES RSO IMAGERY PAST CPL OF HRS SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE IN CLD TOP TEMPS WITH SLIGHT INCR IN AREAL COVERAGE OF CD CLD TOPS WITH CNVTN OVER MO. DYNAMICS STILL STG WITH 8H PROFILERS SHOWING 40-45KT OF MOIST INFLOW AND SATELLITE WINDS INDICATING UPR DIVERGENCE BULLSEYE OVER CENTRAL MO. ADDING TO FF THREAT IS PREFRONTAL CNVTN OVER NRN AR AND SRN MO FEEDING INTO MAIN FNTL CNVTN AND MOISTENING GROUND. . GIVEN ABV CONDS..CONT TO EXPECT GENERAL 1-2" AMNTS NEXT CPL OF HRS FROM TANEY..OZARK..HOWELL COUNTIES IN SW MO NEWRD ACRS KSTL METRO AREA AND INTO CHRISTIAN..SHELBY COUNTIES IN S CENTRAL IL WITH LOCALIZED AMNTS UP TO 3". . BEST LOOKING CNVTN WITH HEAVIEST RAIN ATTM APPEARS TO BE WITH COLDEST CLD TOPS ALG THE WEBSTER/WRIGHT BORDER IN S CENTRAL MO. IT IS IN FAVORED AREA FOR CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED UPR DIFFLUENCE AND THERE APPEARS TO BE A WEAK MESOSCALE VORT DEVELOPING TO ALSO ENHANCE RAINFALL WITH THIS AREA AS IT MOVES INTO TEXAS/DENT/SHANNON NEXT HR OR SO. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 3928 9032 3844 8915 3590 9269 3671 9367 . NNNN