ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
HIZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/03/08 0259Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 0245Z KUSSELSON
DMSP SSMIS F-16:1850Z NOAA AMSU:2330Z
.
LOCATION...HAWAII...
.
ATTN WFOS...HFO...
ATTN RFCS...AKRFC...
.
EVENT...HVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING CONTINUING...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...BIG PICTURE ON MICROWAVE PW LOOP SHOWED
LOW PWS BEING FORCED SOUTH OFFSHORE N BAJA FROM WEATHER SYSTEM AFFECTING
N CALIFORNIA. THIS ESSENTIALLY DRIVING HIGHER TRADE PW MOISTURE WEST
IN FAST LOW LEVEL FLOW AROUND SURFACE RIDGE FROM 30N/135W TO 35N/154W.
AS ADDED WRINKLE SUBTROPICAL PW BLOB AS A PART OF THE EXTENSION OF ITCZ
MOISTURE HAD SPREAD NW AND ENGULFED THE BIG ISLAND THE PAST 12HRS AND WILL
LIKELY ADD MOISTURE TO OTHER ISLANDS.  IF THAT WAS NOT ENOUGH...UPPER
TROUGH/LOW OFF TO THE WEST CLOSE TO 165W WITH EXTENSION OF TROUGH DOWN
TO 10N/164W.  SUBTROPICAL IMPULSE ADDING DYNAMICS IN EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE
NEAR OR APPROACHING CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ISLANDS AND PIECE OF SUBTROPICAL
JET (70KTS) ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND.  QUITE A BIT OF SHEAR DIFFERENTIAL
ADVECTION CONTRIBUTING TO DYNAMICS ESPECIALLY BIG ISLAND AND MAUI WITH
ADDED OROGRAPHIC LIFT.
OROGRAPHIC LIFT AND MOISTURE AFFECTING UPSLOPE AREAS OF OAHU WHILE ADDED
ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CELLS AFFECTING KAUAI/NI'IAHU.  BUT BY FAR THE MOST
WIDESPREAD HVY RAIN AND FF THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER EASTERN TWO THIRDS
OF THE BIG ISLAND AND E HALF OF MAUI FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE AS UPPER
AND LOW LEVEL FEATURES APPEARS TO SLOW TO MOVE OUT OF THE WAY.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 2368 15805 1978 15347 1641 15672 1710 15822 2102 15994
.
NNNN