ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
HIZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 02/02/08 1928Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1900Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:1229Z/1517Z/1658Z DMSP SSMI:1615Z/1657Z NASA TRMM:1515Z
NASA AQUA AMSR-E:1149Z
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LOCATION...HAWAII...
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ATTN WFOS...HFO...
ATTN RFCS...AKRFC...
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EVENT...DEEP MOISTURE FROM THE EAST/SE AND UPPER TROUGH TO THE WEST AND
STRONG SFC HIGH JUST TO THE NORTH FOR CONTINUED HVY RAIN/FF THREAT...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RIGHT INGREDIENTS ARE IN PLACE FOR
CONTINUED HVY RAIN GENERATION AND POTENTIAL FF.  BIG PICTURE WITH WATER
VAPOR SHOWING UPPER TROUGH/LOW WEST OF THE ISLAND CENTERED ALONG 165W
TO 170W.  STRONG SUBTROPICAL JET WITH SATELLITE WIND MAX OF NEAR 100KTS
CENTERED 17N/160W AND NOSING NE ACROSS THE BIG ISLAND.  PW MOISTURE OVER
THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS BEEN INCREASING FROM BOTH THE EAST IN TROPICAL
TRADES AND SE FROM LEADING EDGE OF ITCZ MOISTURE.  AND ON TOP OF ALL THIS
SATELLITE AND QUIKSCAT WINDS SHOWED SURFACE RIDGE 33N/140W TO 35N/151W
AND WITH WEATHER SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL LIKELY STAY THIS
FAR SOUTH WITH GOOD FETCH ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC TOWARD HAWAII WHERE
SURFACE WINDS AVGING 15-305KTS.  ALL THESE INGREDIENTS BY THEMSELVES
WOULD NOT HELP PRODUCE HVY PRECIP AND POTENTIAL FF...BUT THE COMING
TOGETHER OF ALL THEM DO MAKE FOR INTERESTING WEATHER IN THE SHORT TERM
FOR MOST OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ISLANDS...ESPECIALLY THE BIG ISLAND
AND MAUI.  MOST CONCERN THE BIG ISLAND AS GOOD DIFFERENTIAL ADVECTION
AND JET FOR DYNAMICS AND BEST MOISTURE BUT ALSO SPILLING OVER TO MAUI.
IMPULSES IN SWLY HIGH LEVEL FLOW WILL MAKE FOR BURSTS OF HVY RAIN THAT
WILL CONTINUE FF THREAT FOR AWHILE.   MOST RECENT SOUNDING FROM HILO
WOULD ENHANCE PRECIP EVEN FURTHER IF CLOUD TOPS WERE TO COOL BELOW
-55C AND THIS VERY CLOSE TO EAST COAST OF BIG ISLAND WITH ADDITION OF
OVERSHOOTING TOPS JUST OFFSHORE AND INLAND NE/E PART OF THE BIG ISLAND.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 2321 15694 1972 15339 1786 15542 1830 15705 2080 15878
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