ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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CAZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/24/08 0151Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11: 0130Z		DS
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LOCATION...CALIFORNIA...
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ATTN WFOS...VEF...SGX...HNX...LOX...STO...MTR...
ATTN RFCS...CNRFC...
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EVENT...MOD TO HVY RAINS OVER COASTAL S CA AND NWD INTO THE VALLEY
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AS UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY ROTATE
JUST OFF THE CA COAST..STEADY PRECIP CONTINUES TO ACCUMULATE ACROSS
CENTRAL/SRN CA. BIGGEST CONCERN IS FOR THE BURN AREAS IN THE REGION BUT
SLOW MOVEMENT OF CELLS AND THE CONTINUOUS NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM MAY CAUSE
PROBLEMS ELSEWHERE. KSBA PICKED UP OVER 2" FROM 18-00Z AND COULD SEE SOME
SIMILAR AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT 6 HRS AS HVY RAINS EDGE TWDS THE MTNS OF
S CA. AM PARTICULARLY CONCERNED ABOUT UPSLOPE AREAS ON S/W SIDES OF SAN
GABRIEL/SAN BERN MTNS DUE TO THEIR SHAPE AND THE STRONG SWRLY MID LVL FLOW
BEING DIRECTED INTO THEM..40-45 KTS PER LATEST SATL WINDS. ALSO NOTICED
FAIRLY GOOD UPPER LVL DIFFLUENCE AT MID AND UPPER LVLS CENTERED JUST
W OF LOS ANGELES. EXIT REGION OF 140KT JSTMAX FOCUSED SW-NE ACROSS NRN
BAJA PENN IS CERTAINLY AIDING IN REGIONAL LIFT. WV IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER
LOW IS ELONGATED FROM N-S AND A SECONDARY LOW..POSSIBLY MIDLVL..LOOKS
TO BE FORMING JUST W OF KAVX. PRECIP HAS BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED AS
PACIFIC S/WV ENERGY PUSHES THIS 2ND LOW INTO THE S CA COAST ALLOWING
THE NRN MAIN LOW TO RETROGRADE SLIGHTLY TO THE W.
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00Z PW ANALYSIS SHOWS 0.5-0.6" PW VALUES FOR S CENTRAL/SW CA W OF THE
SIERRAS. JUST IN SSMI PASS SHOWS PW PLUME HAS REACHED A LITTLE BIT OF
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE THOUGH LOW LVL WINDS ARE NOT ORIENTED CORRECTLY TO
PULL IT NEWD. PW VALUES DUE S OF LAX ARE NEAR 0.7-0.8" THOUGH. AREAL
AVG RAINRATES RANGED FROM UNDER 0.1"/HR TO JUST OVER 0.25"/HR IN NE
VENTURA COUNTY. THE HVY RAINS CURRENTLY ALONG THE S CA COAST WILL MOVE
INLAND OVER THE NEXT 3-6 HRS WITH HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BEST AREAS
OF ORAGRAPHICS. ALSO WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE MOD/HVY RAINFALL
CURRENTLY OVER W KERN/KINGS/FRESNO COUNTIES AS THIS LOOKS TO BE THE PIVOT
POINT OF THE PRECIP AXIS AND SHOULD SUSTAIN THE STEADY PRECIP OVER ROUGHLY
THE SAME AREAS. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN ABOUT 10-15 MIN FOR GRAPHIC ANALYSIS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3755 11997 3332 11601 3215 11842 3685 12230
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