ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL SPENES NYZ000- . SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/21/08 0323Z SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678 LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0245Z DS . LOCATION...NEW YORK... . ATTN WFOS...BGM...BUF... ATTN RFCS...NERFC...MARFC... . EVENT...STNRY LES BAND . SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CLOUD TOP TEMPS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY WARMING PAST FEW HRS TO AROUND -30C PRESENTLY. PLOT OF SFC WINDS INDICATE A SWRLY/WSWRLY FLOW ACROSS THE WRN END OF LK ONTARIO AND A MOSTLY W WIND ACROSS THE ERN PART OF THE LK. LATEST SATL WINDS SHOW WRLY WINDS ACROSS THE LK AS WELL AT THE LOWER LVLS. WITH THE WINDS ON THE SW END OF THE LK BECOMING MORE SWRLY OVER THE PAST FEW HRS..WRN PART OF THE PLUME LOOKS AS THOUGH IT IS SLOWLY BEGINNING TO LIFT NEWD TWDS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE LK AWAY FROM THE S SHORE. LATEST IR SHOWS THE ERN END OF THE PLUME WHICH HAS BEEN VERY SLOWLY SINKING SWD INTO N CAYUGA/N ONONDAGA/S OSWEGO COUNTIES..HAS STARTED TO WEAKEN AND LOOKS AS THOUGH IT IS STARTING TO GET CUT OFF. ERN END OF PLUME MAY CONTINUE FOR A LITTLE WHILE LONGER BUT CHANGE IN WIND DIRECTION SEEMS AS THOUGH IT IS STARTING TO CUT OFF THE HVY SNOW THREAT. BUFKIT FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW A VERY LOW DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH LYR THOUGH..FROM 925 MB DOWN TO THE SFC DUE TO THE COLD TEMPS SO EVEN THOUGH CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED..LOW CLOUDS COULD STILL BE PRODUCING SOME GOOD SNOW RATES. BELIEVE WILL SEE THE PLUME TRY AND REFORM OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS WITHIN THE SWRLY LOW LVL FLOW AND LINE UP TWDS KART. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. . SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST. ....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET.... . SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES: HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/ ...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/ . LAT...LON 4382 7754 4355 7516 4285 7550 4327 7757 . NNNN