ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/16/08 1611Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1602Z		DS
NASA TRMM: 1254Z  SSMI: 1233Z
.
LOCATION...S ALABAMA...S MISSISSIPPI...S LOUISIANA...
.
ATTN WFOS...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...LMRFC...
.
EVENT...STRATIFORM RAINS ACROSS GULF STATES..CNVTN STAYING OFFSHORE
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST VIS IMAGERY SHOWS LINE OF CNVTN
ASSCD WITH LIFTING SFC LOW IN THE WRN GOM SSE OF KNBG AND A FEW CONVECTIVE
CELLS ALSO TRAILING ALONG BEHIND OFF THE S CENTRAL LA COAST. OTHER THAN
THAT..MOST OF THE RAIN FALLING ACROSS THE GULF STATES AT THE MOMENT
APPEARS TO BE STRATIFORM IN NATURE WITH HIGHEST 3 HR RAINFALL AMOUNT
IN LA FROM 15Z OBS ONLY 0.80". LIGHTNING DATA SHOWS ALL STRIKES STAYING
OFFSHORE AND SEVERAL OVERSHOOTING TOPS ARE NOTICED IN VIS IMAGERY. RECENT
POLAR PASSES INDICATED MUCH HIGHER PW VALUES IN THE GULF OFFSHORE THAN
WHAT WAS OVERLAND AND SAMPLED BY 12Z SOUNDINGS AT LCH/LIX. SSMI/AMSU
GAVE PW VALUES OF 1.6-1.9" WITH LIKELY AOA 2" PW'S INVOF THE CNVTN S OF
ERN LA. 12Z AREAL AVG TRMM RAIN RATES OFFSHORE RANGED FROM 0.5"-1"/HR BUT
THOSE ACTUALLY MAKING IT TO THE COAST WERE ONLY AT .2-.4"/HR. THESE RATES
ARE COMPARABLE WITH AUTOMATED ESTIMATES WHICH SHOW UNDER 1" AMOUNTS FOR
THE PAST 3 HRS ACROSS LA/S MS. HOWEVER WITH LOW LIFTING NEWD..THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY THAT SOME OF THE CNVTN NOW OFFSHORE COULD MAKE IT INTO PARTS
OF SE LA AND LATER ON EVEN EXTREME SRN MS/EXTREME SRN AL. STILL..FFG IS
HIGH AND DO NOT EXPECT MUCH IF ANY FLOODING ISSUES AS PRECIP IS MOVING
ALONG NICELY. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3170 8790 2855 8770 2883 9303 3107 9281
.
NNNN