ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
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MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/16/08 0711Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0645Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...HGX...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...RAINFALL ALONG CENTRAL AND UPPER WESTERN GULF COAST
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RAINFALL HAS BLOSSOMED PAST 6-12 HRS AS
UPPER VORT HAS TRACKED EWRD ACRS NRN MEXICO. IN RESPONSE..MID/UPR LEVEL
FLOW HAS BACKED AND CREATED A MORE FAVORABLE UPR DIFFLUENT RGN IMMEDIATELY
IN ADVANCE OF THE VORT. MESOANALYSIS OF HIGH DENSITY SATELLITE DERIVED
WINDS SHOWS BROAD AREA OF UPR DIVERGENCE ALG THE GULF COAST WITH AXIS
OF MAX VALUES FROM WRN FL PANHANDLE ACRS LA AND INTO S TX.
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SFC PLOW ACRS THE GULF IS MAINLY ERLY AS PER LATEST (0030Z) QUIKSCAT
PASS AND CONSIDERING HOW FAR SOUTH THIS EXTENDS DON/T EXPECT THAT SFC
FLOW WILL TURN SRLY FOR ANY APPRECIABLE TIME PD. HOWEVER..ANIMATED IR
IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD AREA OF NWRD MVG LOW LEVEL CLDS...INDICATING THAT
GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO SYSTEM IS OCRG IN ROUGHLY 900-700MB LAYER.
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LATEST MICROWAVE IMAGERY FROM 23-02Z SHOWS MOISTURE HAS INCRD THROUGHOUT
THE GULF WITH MAX PW VALUES IN THE 1.7-1.8" RANGE MAINLY FROM 25N
SOUTHWARD. 00Z NAM CLOSELY RESEMBLES THIS PTN. MICROWAVE PASS FROM 0230Z
SHOWED MAX AREAL AVERAGED RATES OF ARND .2"/HR ASCD WITH THE AREA OF
CD CLD TOPS S OF THE LA COAST. THIS AREA HAS BEEN LIFTING N AND IS NOW
CLIPPING THE EXTRM SE LA COAST. HIGHER AMNTS UP TO .8"/HR WERE IN THE
WRN GULF E OF KBRO.
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GIVEN ALL OF THE ABV AND OVERALL EVOLUTION OF SYSTEM EXPECT HEAVIEST
RAINFALL OVERNIGHT AND THRU THE MRNG FROM THE UPR TX COAST EWRD ACRS SRN
LA WITH GENERAL .5-1.0" AMNTS AND LOCALLY 1-2" NR THE IMMEDIATE COAST
WHERE SOME REPEAT ACTIVITY OCRS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3123 8868 2898 8854 2784 9617 3006 9661
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