ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TNZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/10/08 1728Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 1715Z	DS
HYDROESTIMATOR THROUGH 1645Z
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LOCATION...W TENNESSEE...W/N KENTUCKY...SE INDIANA...
LOCATION...N MISSISSIPPI...
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ATTN WFOS...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...IND...HUN...PAH...MEG...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...OHRFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...TRAINING CELLS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...UPPER LOW CONTINUES ITS EWD MOVEMENT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL US WITH A 100KT JET SHOWN BY GOES SATL WINDS STRETCHING
FROM NE TX TO S IN. STEADILY INCREASING SWRLY 85H FLOW HAS BEEN SEEN AT
THE PROFILER SITE IN NE MS AND 17Z OBS SHOW DWPTS IN N CENTRAL TN NEARING
60F. CLOUD TOP TEMPS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN RUNNING BETWEEN -55 TO -61C
AS THE CELLS MOVE IN A SW TO NE PATTERN WITH THE LINE SLOWLY SHIFTING
EWD. THIS HAS BEEN AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MOD/HVY RAINS FROM N MS
TO N CENTRAL KY/SE IN. HAVE NOTICED THAT LIGHTNING DECREASES TO THE NE AS
CELLS ENCOUNTER COOLER/DRIER/MORE STABLE AIR AND BECOME LESS CONVECTIVE
SO MOST INTENSE RAINS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE S/CENTRAL PARTS OF THE LINE OF
STORMS. MANUEL ESTIMATES GIVE RAINFALL RATES OF 1-1.5"/HR..PARTICULARLY
IN N MS/W TN WHERE MULTIPLE OVERSHOOTING TOPS CAN BE SEEN ON VIS IMAGERY
AND CLOUD TOPS HAVE COOLED IN LAST TWO IR IMAGES. HYDROESTIMATOR SHOWS
A 1-2" AREA OF ESTIMATED RAINFALL ACROSS W TN OVER THE PAST 6 HRS WITH
EMBEDDED MAXES OF 2.2" OVER MADISON/HENDERSON/CARROLL COUNTIES ENDING
1645Z. ADDITIONAL HVY RAINS HAVE OCCURRED OVER THESE COUNTIES SINCE 1645Z
AND CELLS LOOK AS THOUGH THEY WILL CONTINUE TO TRAIN OVER THE AREA FOR THE
NEXT 1-3 HRS. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN ABOUT 10 MIN. FOR HYDROESTIMATOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3880 8620 3845 8436 3821 8331 3437 8844 3452 9013
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