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MIZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/08/08 0935Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 0915Z	DS
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LOCATION...S MICHIGAN...N INDIANA...ILLINOIS...
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ATTN WFOS...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...
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EVENT...MOD RAINS CONTINUE TO SOAK IL/N IN/S MI
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR STLT TRENDS OVER THE PAST FEW HRS
HAVE SHOWN A GRADUAL WEAKENING/WARMING OF CLOUD TOPS..SPECIFICALLY THOSE
OVER N IN/S MI AND OVER SRN LK MI. A FEW COLDER CLOUD TOPS ARE STILL
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE THICK CIRRUS OVER IL ASSCD WITH SCATTERED TSTORM
ACTIVITY ONGOING PER LIGHTNING NETWORK DATA. JUST UPSTREAM IN MO..CLOUD
TOPS HAVE ALSO BEGAN WARMING/SHRINKING AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE STATE INTO
IL. BELIEVE AT LEAST SOME OF THESE HEAVIER RAINS WILL HOLD TOGETHER ENOUGH
TO BRING SEVERAL MORE HRS OF MOD/OCCASSIONALLY HVY RAINS TO IL/N IN/S
MI. SFC OBS REVEAL SFC LOW IN CENTRAL MO THAT WILL BE MOVING NEWD WITHIN
THE MASS OF CNVTN INTO IL OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS AND IS COLOCATED WITH
TIGHTEST GRADIENT OF THETA-E AXIS FOR HEAVIEST RAINFALL. BOTH AUTOMATED
RAINFALL ESTIMATE TECHNIQUES AT NESDIS INDICATE AN AREA OF 3-4" ARCING
FROM SCOTT/MORGAN COUNTIES TO LIVINGSTON/FORD/IROQUOIS COUNTIES OVER THE
PAST 6 HRS. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR HYDROESTIMATOR GRAPHIC DEPICTING THIS
ENDING 0900Z. BASED ON RECENT OBS AND MANUEL STLT ESTIMATES INCLUDING THE
WARMING TREND SEEN IN STLT..EXPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF GENERALLY UNDER .5"
IN AN HOURS TIME. IF SOME OF THE WARMER TOP TSTORMS BEHIND THE FRNT HOLD
TOGETHER LONG ENOUGH INTO IL OR REFORM..THEN PERHAPS COULD SEE RATES UP
TO 1"/HR AGAIN BUT WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4340 8483 4099 8513 3850 8958 4012 9076
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