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NVZ000-CAZ000-ORZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 01/04/08 1810Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1800Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:1047Z/1328Z/1509Z DMSP SSMI:1309Z/1451Z
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LOCATION...W NEVADA...N AND C CALIFORNIA...SW OREGON...
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ATTN WFOS...REV...HNX...LOX...MFR...STO...MTR...EKA...
ATTN RFCS...NWRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...HVYST PRECIPITATION SHIFTING EAST AND SE...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CENTER OF PW MOISTURE PLUME HAD SLOWLY
SHIFTED SOUTH AND SE THIS MORNING AND NOW WAS CENTERED 30N/131W TO
THE SFO-MRY BAY AREAS AND INLAND.  MOISTURE TRANSPORT EXCELLENT FROM
31N INTO NORTHERN PORTION OF CENTRAL CA AND S PORTION OF N CA AND WILL
PROVIDE EXCEPTION MOISTURE GENERATION WHEN COMBINED WITH NOSING POLAR
JET INTERACTING WITH THE BEST MOISTURE FROM BAY AREA INTO CENTRAL CA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EXTENDING INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SIERRAS.
MICROWAVE AND GOES HRLY RAIN RATES CERTAINLY SUPPORTING MAX 1.0-2.0"
PER 6 HRS LOWLAND PRECIP AMOUNTS AND 1.5" TO 2.5"...POSSIBLY NEAR 3.0"
IN EXCEPTIONAL OROGRAPHIC AREAS PER 6HRS THRU 00Z.
NOW JUST BECAUSE BACK EDGE OF STEADY HVY HAS ALREADY WORKED INLAND
SW OREGON AND N CA MOSTLY NORTH OF THE NORTH BAY AREA...STILL HAVE A
SHORT WAVE ENHANCING CLOUDS NOW ON THE NW CA COAST AND OTHER CU THAT
COULD BLOSSOM INTO MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS AHEAD OF UPPER TROF NOW
APPROACHING THE OREGON AND N CA COASTS.  BUT BY FAR THE STEADIEST
AND HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION NEXT 6HR WILL BE WITH JET-MOISTURE PLUME
INTERACTION CENTERED ON SFO BAY AND JUST SOUTH AND INLAND TO THE N AND
CENTRAL SIERRAS AND ANY LITTLE WAVE ON FRONT WILL BRIEFLY SLOW FRONT
FOR ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AND FLOODING PROBLEMS.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4234 12354 3916 11970 3474 11916 3418 12144 3772 12527
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