ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/20/07 2027Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2015Z	DS
NOAA AMSU: 1635Z
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LOCATION...FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA...S MISSISSIPPI...SE LOUISIANA...
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ATTN WFOS...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...LMRFC...
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EVENT...HVY WARM TOP RAINS CONTINUE OVER THE S
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...S/WV TROF AXIS IS SEEN ON WV IMAGERY
SWINGING QUICKLY THROUGH NE TX/AR AT THIS TIME. AMSU PASS AT 1635Z ALONG
WITH CURRENT GOES SOUNDER IMAGERY SHOWS STRONGEST MOISTURE STREAMING
NEWD FROM THE WRN GOM IS NOW SITUATED OVER SE LA/S MS/INTO W CENTRAL AL
COINCIDENT WITH HEAVIEST PRECIP. SOUNDER ALSO SHOWS CLOUD TOP PRESSURES OF
475-525MB EXTENDING NWD INTO WRN TN/W KY..SLIGHTLY HIGHER PRESSURES AROUND
450MB OVER EXTREME SERN PARTS OF LA AND OVER COASTAL WATERS IN GOM. THESE
CLOUD TOP PRESSURES STILL WELL BELOW EL FROM 12Z/MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS AND
THUS EXPECT MOST CELLS ACROSS THE S WILL REMAIN WARM TOP. EXCEPTION MAY
BE WHERE MERGERS BETWEEN EMBEDDED CLUSTERS OCCUR. VIS/IR INDICATES DEEPEST
CNVTN IS OVER SE LA/EXTREME SRN MS/AND OVER THE WATERS S OF KMOB. BELIEVE
THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE GULF MOISTURE SOURCE ALONG
THE COAST..PARTICULARLY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HRS ACROSS THE
FL PANHANDLE. SOME CELL TRAINING STILL MAY OCCUR ACROSS SE LA/S MS/S
AL/FL PANHANDLE DUE TO CURRENT CONFIGURATION OF STRONGEST CELLS AND WRLY
FLOW AT THE MID/UPPER LVLS PER GOES STLT WINDS. ESTIMATE THAT RATES OF
1-1.5"/HR ARE OCCURING BUT WITH TRAINING OF CELLS SOME SPOTS COULD SEE
UP TO 2" AMOUNTS IN AN HR. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN ABOUT 10 MIN FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3285 8761 3271 8556 2898 8461 2802 9044 2913 9169
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