ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/17/07 1731Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: G11  1700Z
NOAA AMSU:  1215Z-1358Z
RE-SENT..ADDITION TO 3RD LINE OF MAIN TEXT
.
LOCATION...CALIFORNIA...OREGON...
.
ATTN WFOS...PDT...MFR...STO...MTR...PQR...EKA...
ATTN RFCS...NWRFC...CNRFC...
.
EVENT...MOISTURE LADEN SYSTEM APPROACHING POISED TO BRING MOD/HVY PRECIP
TONIGHT/TUESDAY
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VORT/SFC CIRC NR 44N 138W HAS TAKEN
A MORE ERLY TURN AFTER MOVG SE. THIS WILL BRING FIRST SHOT OF MOD/HVY
PRECIP TO OR/NW CA TONIGHT..PRECEDED BY SOME LIGHT/MOD PRECIP THIS AFTN.
RECENT AMSU PASS INDICATED RAIN RATES AROUND 0.1-0.15"/HR..WITH SOME
PIXELS AROUND 0.25". HOWEVER..FOCUS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL SHIFT TO CA
LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY..AS BAROCLINIC BAND/PW PLUME/ PRECIPITABLE
WATER PLUME ARE ALL SHOWING INDICATIONS OF SHIFTING SEWD IN RESPONSE TO
BUILDING UPSTREAM RIDGE AND AND DIGGING JET E OF RIDGE. PLEASE SEE GRAPHIC
DEPICTING THE FEATURES AT WEB ADDRESS BELOW IN APPX 10 MINUTES.  AS SHOWN
ON GRAPHIC..PW PLUME HAS ORIGINS IN WPAC SUBTROPICS..WITH VALUES OF OF
1.4"PLUS W OF 145W AND 1.6"PLUS W OF 170W. WITH ABOVE HIGH PW'S/ABOVE
NORMAL..MOD/STRONG JET DYNAMICS AND THETA-E ADVECTION..WOULD EXPECT
HVY/SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL TOTALS OVER THE DISCUSSION AREA TONIGHT/TUESDAY.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 4507 12175 4063 12203 3687 12168 3721 12689 4467 12740
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic

-Graphic Depicting Features In SPE Message