ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/16/07 0811Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12:
.
LOCATION...FLORIDA...GEORGIA...
.
ATTN WFOS...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
.
EVENT...RAPID CLOUD TOP WARMING..NEW CELLS FORMING W OF TAMPA BAY
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LOOP OF PREVIOUS 90 MIN OF IR IMAGERY
HAS SHOWN A FAIRLY RAPID WARMING TREND WITHIN THE COLD CLOUD TOPS/HVY
RAINS THAT ARE MAKING THEIR WAY INTO NW FL. LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE
ALSO DECREASED SIGNIFICANTLY WITHIN THE WARMING CELLS OVER THE PAST
HR. NEWEST SAT IMAGES SHOW THAT MOST OF REMAINING LIGHTNING IS WITHIN
TAIL END OF THE HVY RAINS WHERE AFTER THE RAPID WARMING OF CLOUDS TO
THE N..A NEW CLUSTER HAS BEGUN TO GROW WSW OF KTPA. ALSO WITHIN THE NOW
MUCH WARMER CNVTN BETWEEN KCTY AND KBKV THERE IS A SMALL AREA OF COLDER
TOPS THOUGH NOWHERE NEAR WHAT IT USED TO BE..CLOUD TOPS ARE BETWEEN -64
TO -68C NOW. WITH PASSAGE OF S/WV AXIS FROM PREVIOUS SPENES..HVY RAINS
HAVE STARTED TO PUSH THE REST OF THE WAY ACROSS NRN FL AND SHOULD BEGIN
TO LESSEN SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS. HOWEVER WITH THE VERY HIGH PW'S
STILL IN PLACE..MOD TO LOCALLY HVY RAINS ARE STILL A GOOD POSSIBILITY OVER
N/CENTRAL FL. AUTOESTIMATOR SHOWS 3 HR AMOUNTS OF 1-2" ACROSS THE NWRN
SECTION OF FL WITH 1" AMOUNTS STRETCHING ALMOST TO SE GA AND SOME 2-3"
MAX OVER 3" SW OF KCTY. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR THESE ESTIMATES ENDING 0745Z.
.
ALSO COULD STILL SEE SOME GROWTH OUT OF THE NEW CLUSTER OF CELLS BEFORE
IT MOVES INTO THE TAMPA AREA IN THE NEXT HR. JUST IN 0802Z IMAGE SHOWS
MULTIPLE NEW CELL CLUSTERS POPPING UP TO THE N/NW OF THE NEWLY INITIATED
CELLS NEAR TPA. BELIEVE WILL SEE CONTINUED GROWTH OF THESE CELLS WITH
HEAVIEST RAINS MOVING INTO AREA BETWEEN KBKV AND KTPA OVER NEXT 1-2
HRS. AUTOMATED ESTIMATES SHOW 1-1.2" AMOUNTS IN 1 HR OFFSHORE WSW OF
TAMPA. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3169 8147 2914 8039 2719 8281 2914 8373
.
NNNN
 
Full Size Graphic


-