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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/15/07 0848Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-10: 0832Z	DS
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LOCATION...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...ILLINOIS...
LOCATION...MISSOURI...ARKANSAS...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LMK...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...HGX...
ATTN WFOS...FWD...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...LMRFC...NCRFC...ABRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...MOD/OCCASSIONALLY HVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS AR/E TX..MOVING INTO
W KY/S IL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS MID TO UPPER LVL
LOW CROSSING INTO THE TX PANHANDLE FROM E CENTRAL NM AT THIS TIME AND
ENTIRE SYSTEM CAN NOW BE SEEN STARTING TO LIFT NEWD. STLT WINDS SHOW
GOOD JET COUPLING AT THIS TIME WITH TWO 120 KT MAXES OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS..ONE ELONGATED OVER ERN TX AND ANOTHER OVER SW MO/EXTREME E
KS. ALSO A 30-50KT LLJ SET UP FROM E TX INTO AR TO THE SE MO/W KY AREA PER
LATEST VWP/PROFILER DATA IS IN FAIRLY GOOD ALIGNMENT WITH MID/UPPER LVL
FLOW. CLOUD TOPS HAVE RAPIDLY EXPANDED OVER THE PAST 2 HRS OVER NE TX/W
AND N AR/INTO SE MO/S IL/W KY. SMALL FAST MOVING IMPULSE SEEN ON WV ALONG
WITH INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FLOW FROM UPPER JET SEEM TO BE THE REASON FOR
THE EXPANSION OF CELLS. THOUGH CLOUD TOPS ARE FAIRLY WARM..BETWEEN -48
TO -56C..TRAINING OF CELLS DUE TO MOSTLY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW THROUGH THE
ATMOS WILL ALLOW FOR RAINFALL TO ACCUMULATE. BASED ON RECENT OBS..STEADY
.5-1"/HR RAINFALL RATES HAVE BEEN OCCURRING OVER NE TX/AR WITH EXCEPTION
OF STRENGTHENING CNVTVE LINE IN TX FROM KGYB TO KTYR. THIS LINE IS WITHIN
THE STRONGEST GRADIENT OF THE THETA-E AXIS SITUATED IN E CENTRAL TX WITHIN
STRENGTHENING BAROCLINIC ZONE OF CLOUD BAND. BELIEVE WILL SEE MORE STORM
ACTIVITY JUMP TO THIS NEW BAROCLINIC ZONE THAT IS EXTENDING NEWD FROM E
CENTRAL TX INTO CENTRAL AR AND SE MO OVER NEXT FEW HRS. MANUEL ESTIMATES
GIVE AMOUNTS OF 1-1.5" OVER THE LAST 3 HRS FOR BOWIE AND LITTLE RIVER
COUNTIES ALONG THE AR/TX BORDER AND AMOUNTS OF 1.3-1.6" FOR 1 HR OVER
LEON/ROBERTSON COUNTIES IN TX ENDING 0832Z. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3835 8949 3759 8688 3748 8712 3050 9665 3227 9772
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