ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/10/07 1015Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-10 1000Z KUSSELSON
.
LOCATION...S MISSOURI...EXT NW ARKANSAS...C TO NE OKLAHOMA...
.
ATTN WFOS...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
.
EVENT...LONG TRAIL OF MOISTURE AND SHORT WAVES FOR CONTINUED PRECIP ON
TOP OF BELOW FREEZING GROUND...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...NOT MUCH HAS CHANGED IN THE BIG PICTURE
FROM LAST MESSAGE AS UPPER LOW OFF N BAJA COAST HAS SETTLED AT 28.5N/117W.
UPPER LOW APPEARS TO NOT BE DRIFTING AS MUCH SOUTH AS UPPER TROUGH BEGINS
TO FEED IN FROM THE NORTH (CA AND NV).  LONG STEADY MID AND HIGH LEVEL
MOISTURE AND IMPULSES CAN BE SEEN FROM AT LEAST SUBTROPICS AT 17N/114W
NEWD INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MISSOURI.  THIS REFLECTS WELL WITH LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE REPRESENTATION OF PW MOISTURE OFF THE SW OLD MEXICO
COAST AND BEING ADVECTED NEWD OVER THE MEXICAN MOUNTAINS AT 10000 FEET.
VARIOUS SUBTLE IMPULSES THRU THE FLOW HELPING TO WRING OUT MOISTURE AS
THEY LIFT INTO OKLAHOMA AND S MO.  LONG EXTEND OF MOISTURE AND WAVES
INSURES AT LEAST 18HRS OF STEADY PRECIP ON TOP OF BELOW FREEZING GROUND.
ADDITION OF A STABLE LOW LEVEL SOURCE OF MOISTURE TRANSPORT FROM WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO ONLY FURTHER HELPS DEEPEN THE MOISTURE AND ALLOWS FOR
PERSISTENCE.  ONE INPULSE MOVING THRU W OK AND HELPING GENERATE NARROW
ENHANCED BAROCLINIC LEAF CLOUD SIGNATURE S CENTRAL OK TO NE OK INTO
NW AR AND S MO.  CLOUD TOP TEMP TO -35C ARE HELPING PRODUCE THE LIGHT
TO OCCASION MDT RAIN.  COOLER EMBEDDED CLOUD TOPS AS COOL AS -43C ARE
HELPING PRODUCE THE MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HVY RAIN.  AHEAD OF THIS
IS A COUPLE OF FEATURES THAT CURRENTLY ARE AND WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
EXT NW AR INTO SW MO WITH RAIN BURSTS.  WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
.
SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
.
LAT...LON 3804 9368 3606 9183 3617 9427 3416 9695 3464 9810
.
NNNN