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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/08/07 0207Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 0145Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU: 2145Z/2355Z DMSP SSMI: 0014Z/0045Z
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...
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EVENT...1.2" MICROWAVE PW VALUES BEING ADVECTED INTO ARIZONA AHEAD OF
SIGNIFICANT LIFT FROM UPPER LEVEL FEATURES...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...REMAINS OF FRONTAL PLUME OF MAX PW
MOISTURE HAS SETTLED ACROSS N BAJA INTO N GULF OF CA AND SW TO CENTRAL
ARIZONA.  LATEST MICROWAVE PW VALUES IN N GULF OF CA CONSISTENT WITH BOTH
SSMI AND AMSU 1.2".  30KT 850MB AND 45 KTS 700MB FLOW NEARLY PARALLEL
THE BEST MOISTURE JUST OFF THE N BAJA COAST INTO AZ.  OROGRAPHICS ALONE
HELPING LIFT AND RELEASE THIS DEEP MOISTURE THAT IS OVER 200 PERCENT OF
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.  BUT YOU ALSO WELL ABOVE NORMAL JET OF
100KTS SE CA TO 160KTS OVER N AZ PROVIDING EXTRA LIFT AND INSTABILITY
AND ENERGY AND ON TOP OF ALL THAT WEAK LOW LEVEL VORTS PUSHING ACROSS
NW AZ FOR ADDITIONAL LIFT MOSTLY IN N CENTRAL TO C AZ AREAS NORTH OF OHX
METRO AREA.  EXPECT MOISTURE AND BEST LIFT TO CONTINUE TO DRIFT EAST AND
AT LEAST FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT TO CONTINUE TO GET ENOUGH RAINFALL FOR
LOCALIZED FF.  RAIN RATES FROM SATELLITE NOT HANDLING THE OROGRAPHIC
NATURE OF HVYST RAIN RATES...SO PATTERN RECOGNITION THE BEST WITH
ANALYSING THIS EVENT.    WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3635 11052 3378 10957 3122 11414 3501 11366
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