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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 12/06/07 1630Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1600Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU: 1229Z NASA TRMM: 1259Z  QUIKSCAT: 0457Z
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LOCATION...HAWAII...
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ATTN WFOS...HFO...
ATTN RFCS...AKRFC...
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EVENT...HIGHEST MOISTURE TO THE EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND...BUT PLENTY OF
RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND ESPECIALLY LIFT FOR CONTINUED HVY RAIN THREAT...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...NASA 85GHZ CHANNEL PUTTING SURFACE CENTER
OF LOW NEAR 25.7N/158.1W.   THIS A BIT SOUTH OF UPPER LOW ON WATER
VAPOR AND UPPER LEVEL SATELLITE WINDS.  LOW AND TROUGH CREATING LOTS
OF INSTABILITY...QUITE AN AREA OF NEGATIVE LIS ON GOES IMAGER/SOUNDER.
LATEST AMSU 1229Z PASS SHOWED BEST OF 2.08" NOW JUST EAST OF BIG ISLAND.
BUT AS WE KNOW FROM EXPERIENCE...HIGHEST PW MOISTURE DOES NOT NECESSARILY
ALWAYS TRANSLATE INTO HIGHEST RAIN AMOUNTS AND DECREASING PW VALUES
BEHIND A BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY DOES NOT END HVY RAIN OR A FF THREAT.
AND THIS CONTINUES TO BE THE CASE NOW AS BIG ISLAND AND CENTRAL SMALLER
ISLANDS STILL HAVE INSTABILITY AND ALSO INSTABILITY CREATED BY THE PW
GRADIENT THAT RUN FROM THAT 2.08" JUST EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND TO 1.5"
BETWEEN THE BIG ISLAND NW COAST AND MAUI.
AND RESIDUAL MODERATE MOISTURE HANGING AROUND INSTABILITY LIKE THIS WITH
UNUSUALLY DEEP UPPER LOW THIS FAR SOUTH HAS THE ABILITY TO CONTINUE TO
CREATE SHOWERS AND TRAINING HVY RAIN BURST CELLS.  DRIER AIR FROM THE
SW WE SAW YESTERDAY FAILING TO MAKE INROADS...SO SHOWER THREAT AROUND
FOR AWHILE AS BULK OF DRY AIR ON AMSU PW LOOP BEING SHUNTED SOUTH
AND SW...WITH OTHER AREA WELL NW OF THE ISLANDS STAYING NORTH OF 30N.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR..
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 2138 15618 2039 15382 1784 15489 1762 15549 1825 15709
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