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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/30/07 2257Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-1l: 2230Z	DS
NOAA AMSU: 2112Z
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LOCATION...ARIZONA...S CALIFORNIA...
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ATTN WFOS...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...SGX...LOX...
ATTN RFCS...CBRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...UPPER LOW LIFTING TWDS SWRN US
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS ENERGY DROPPING
SEWD ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST WHICH HAS NOW KICKSTARTED THE UPPER LOW'S
MOVEMENT NEWD INTO THE SWRN US. VORT APPEARS TO BE REFORMING ITSELF NEAR
28N/121W. STLT WINDS SHOW A 100KT JET FLOWING FROM NRN BAJA INTO SW UTAH
AND THEN EWD ACROSS CO WITH EMBEDDED JET MAXES REACHING 140KTS. FAIRLY
GOOD UPPER LVL DIFFLUENCE IS ALSO SEEN ACROSS SW/S CENTRAL AZ ALSO AS
THE UPPER FLOW CONTINUES TO BE SPLIT GOING INTO THE SW. DRIER AIR IS
WRAPPING AROUND THE NRN SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW AS SEEN ON WV AND BY THE
LACK OF CLOUDS SEEN ON VIS NOT FAR OFFSHORE THE S CA COAST. ONCE THIS
DRIER AIR REACHES THE COASTLINE..EXPECT THE HEAVIEST RAINS WILL BE OVER
FOR THE LOS ANGELES AREAS THOUGH SOME LIGHTER SHOWERS MAY COME ASHORE
FROM THE NRN EDGE OF THE UPPER LOW LATER ON.
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HVY RAINS WILL SHIFT NEWD INTO THE DESERTS OF SE CA/SRN NV/NW AZ. VIS
IMAGERY DOES ALSO SHOW CELLS ENHANCING ALONG THE NRN COAST OF BAJA S OF
SAN DIEGO COUNTY THAT SHOULD FOLLOW THE FLOW NNEWD ACROSS THE ERN HALF
OF SAN DIEGO COUNTY AS WELL AS IMPERIAL/RIVERSIDE/AND SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTIES. 2112Z AMSU PASS SHOWED AREAL AVG RAIN RATES OF JUST OVER .3"/HR
IN THESE ENHANCING CELLS THAT AREA MOVING TWDS SRN CA BUT OTHERWISE
RATES WERE GENERALLY UNDER .1"/HR. THESE MOD RAINS CAN BE EXPECTED TO
BE ENHANCED BY THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THESE COUNTIES.
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OTHER AREA OF HVY RAIN IS LIKELY TO BE IN S/SE/CENTRAL AZ AS A FEATURE
SEEN IN WV LIFTS NEWD ACROSS THE STATE DRIVING HVY RAINS INTO THE SWRN
SIDE OF THE MOGOLLON RIM. LATEST AMSU PASS ONLY CLIPPED SWRN AZ AND AREAL
AVG RATES WERE UNDER .1"/HR BUT ENHANCING GOES-11 IR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT
RATES HAVE LIKELY INCREASED SINCE THEN. LIKELY DUE TO THE 1.8-2" PW'S OVER
AND S OF SRN BAJA PENNINSULA BEING PULLED NWD BY THE NOW MORE FAVORABLE
LOW-MID LVL FLOW INTO S AZ. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN 10-15 MIN FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3496 10953 3078 10993 3179 11856 3493 11750
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