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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/26/07 1300Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 1245Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...FLORIDA...GEORGIA...ALABAMA...
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ATTN WFOS...TAE...BMX...MOB...
ATTN RFCS...SERFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN SHIELD WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE LINES MAKING SLOW
PROGRESS THROUGH FL PANHANDLE AND SE AL
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION CONTINUES TO
ONLY MAKE VERY SLOW EWARD PROGRESS THIS MORNING OVER SE AL AND THE
FL PANHANDLE.  BELIEVE THIS SLOW OVERALL MOTION WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
SHORT TERM BEFORE VORTICITY LOBE NOW OVER E TX/W LA EVENTUALLY HELPS TO
ACCELERATE CONVECTIVE LINE LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.
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UL FORCING APPEARS TO BE DRIVEN IN LARGE PART BY HIGHLY DIFFLUENT FLOW
AS EVIDENCED BY CLASSIC WEDGE SHAPED FEATURE TO CONVECTIVE LINE OVER
THE GULF.  IN ADDITION, GOES HIGH DENSITY WINDS WERE INDICATING A 100KT
SPEED MAX LIFTING UP LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO PROVIDE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION DYNAMICS OVER THE AFFECTED AREA.
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MORNING RAOBS AND LATEST NOAA AMSU PASS (1037Z) WERE SHOWING THAT DEEPEST
MOISTURE WAS ROUGHLY COINCIDENT WITH CONVECTIVE WEDGE.  MAXIMUM VALUES
WERE GENERALLY AROUND 1.70-1.80" AND THESE VALUES ARE ROUGHLY 200% OF THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL VALUES.  CONSIDERING THIS AND THE FAVORABLE WARM
RAIN PROFILES OUT OF TLH, WOULD EXPECT THAT RAINFALL RATES OF 1-2"/HR
SHOULD BE COMMON IN THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTIVE CORES.
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QUICK PEAK AT 1245Z VISIBLE IMAGE SHOWS THAT NUMEROUS OVERSHOOTING TOPS
WERE ALIGNED ALONG AN AXIS FROM E WALTON COUNTY EXTENDING NE THROUGH
HOLMES COUNTY AND INTO E GENEVA COUNTY.  BELIEVE 1-2"/HR RAINFALL RATES
SHOULD BE COMMON IN THIS AREA OVER AT LEAST THE NEXT 30-60 MINUTES.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3205 8527 3178 8483 3081 8504 2973 8590 2950 8678 3033
8692 3093 8681 3190 8629
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