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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/25/07 2014Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12: 2002Z
NASA TRMM: 1511Z/1643Z
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LOCATION...SW/W MISSISSIPPI...LOUISIANA...E TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC...
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EVENT...COOLING CLOUD TOPS INCREASING IN COVERAGE OVER LA
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...WV IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LOW STARTING TO
LIFT NEWD ACROSS W TX AND A NEW INFLOW BAND STRENGTHENING ACROSS E TX/SRN
TX COAST. BAND FARTHER OUT AHEAD WITH CNVTN OVER THE WRN GOM APPEARS
TO BE COMPLETELY DETACHED NOW FROM THE UPPER LOW. STLT WINDS SHOW UPPER
LVL 80KT JET STREAK STRETCHED S-N ACROSS THE TX COAST INTO NE TX/NW LA
AT THIS TIME. VIS IMAGERY HAS SHOWN QUITE AN INCREASE IN CELLS OVER SW
LA AND OVER THE GULF E OF KGLS. 19Z VWP DATA FROM HOU AND LCH SHOWS AN
IMPRESSIVE LLJ WITH 30-40 KT WINDS AT 850 AND 50 KTS AT 700MB...BRINGING
IN RICH MOISTURE FROM THE WRN GULF. PW VALUES ARE NEAR 1.2" CLOSER TO
THE TX COAST AND INCREASE EWD THROUGH THE WRN GULF S OF LA TO WHERE
VALUES ARE NEAR 1.6-1.7" DUE S OF LCH. OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES
THE AREA FROM NEAR KARA INTO WRN MS CURRENTLY HAS THE BEST SFC MOISTURE
CNVG JUST NE OF THE SFC LOW AND N OF THE WARM FRNT. EXPECT CELLS WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/STRENGTH OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS AS THE
LLJ MOVES EWD ACROSS LA. HOWEVER..MAJOR COMPLEX S OF LA IN THE GULF IS
ALONG THE MAIN MOISTURE GRADIENT AND MAY BE CAUSING TOO MUCH UPPER LVL
OUTFLOW FOR ANOTHER MAJOR COMPLEX TO ORGANIZE DIRECTLY BEHIND IT. IF
THIS COMPLEX PERSISTS..CELLS MOVING INTO SW LA WOULD  PROBABLY REMAIN
SMALLER AND ONLY ABLE TO GROUP INTO SMALL CLUSTERS. TRMM AREAL AVG RAIN
RATES FROM RECENT PASSES SHOWED RATES MOSTLY BETWEEN 0.25-0.5"/HR BUT
IN THE STRONGEST CELLS..OFFSHORE AND THOSE NOW OVER S CENTRAL LA..RATES
WERE AT 0.8-1.2"/HR. LOCALLY RAIN RATES COULD EASILY EXCEED 2"/HR THO
GIVEN THE STRONG LLJ AND MOIST ATMOSPHERE. SEE WEB ADDRESS FOR 1 HR
ESTIMATES GRAPHIC ENDING 1945Z SHOWING A MAX OF 1.1" NEAR THE BORDER OF
ST. LANDRY/ACADIA PARISHES.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3281 9080 2863 8838 2853 9490 3262 9309
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