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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/24/07 1230Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:1215Z  JS
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LOCATION...SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS
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ATTN WFOS...HGX...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...SATELLITE PRESENTATION WITH DEVELOPING AREA OF HEAVY RAINFALL
OVER SE TX HAS BECOME MUCH BETTER DEFINED DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...AUTOMATED SATELLITE BASED ESTIMATES
FOR THE PAST 2-3 HOURS ARE CLOSING IN ON 2" FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION
STRETCHING FROM AROUND WILSON/KARNES COUNTIES TO FAYETTE/COLORADO COUNTIES
AS SATELLITE SIGNATURE BECOMES MORE ENHANCED. AREA OF EXPANDING ELEVATED
CONVECTION IN FAVORABLE REGION OF ISENTROPIC LIFT IS ALSO ALIGNED WITHIN
ANALYZED INVERTED SFC TROF WHICH STRETCHES NORTHWESTWARD FROM LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFFSHORE OVER W GULF OF MEXICO. ACTIVITY IS ALSO
LIKELY BEING AIDED BY EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES IN SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
PLUME AHEAD OF PRIMARY VIGOROUS MID/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE NOW TAKING
SHAPE OVER NW MEXICO AS SEEN IN LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. MOISTURE IS
ALSO NOW INCREASING ACROSS SE TX WITH LATEST MICROWAVE DATA AND GOES
SOUNDER DATA BOTH SHOWING RETURN MOISTURE FROM WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
SURGING NORTHWARD TOWARD THE SE TX COAST WITH PW VALUES NEARING 1.5"
CLOSE TO THE COAST. AT THIS TIME IR LOOP HAS INDICATED ENOUGH OVERALL
MOVEMENT WITH CELLS TO LIMIT TOTALS TO THE 1-2" RANGE WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER TOTALS. HOWEVER, BELIEVE THAT AREAS A BIT FARTHER TO THE NORTHEAST
(INCLUDING PORTIONS OF THE HOUSTON METRO AREA) COULD RECEIVE HIGHER
AMOUNTS AS LOW LEVEL INFLOW/MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASES AND THE STRONG
UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES FARTHER TO THE EAST.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3075 9556 2923 9442 2778 9691 2936 9812
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