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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/18/07 0616Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-12 0545Z  RUMINSKI
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LOCATION...TEXAS...
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ATTN WFOS...LCH...HGX...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...WGRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN WITH CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER EAST TEXAS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IR SATELLITE TRENDS PAST HR OR SO SHOW
CORE OF COLDEST CLD TOPS HAS NOW BECOME PROGRESSIVE AND TRACKED ACRS
AUSTIN.WALLER AND INTO NW HARRIS COUNTIES. IN ITS WAKE CLD TOP TEMPS HAVE
WARMED A BIT OVER FAYETTE..AUSTIN AND WASHINGTON. SATELLITE AUTOMATED
ESTIMATES HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT IS GIVING MAX 3 HR RAINFALL AMNTS OF
ARND 2.5". THIS LOOKS REASONABLE ALTHOUGH IT'S LIKELY THAT THERE ARE
LOCALIZED MAXIMUM IN EXCESS OF 3".
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WITH CNVTV FEEDBACK HAVING KICKED IN..MAIN CLUSTER OF HEAVIEST RAIN
HAS TAKEN ON A LIFE OF ITS OWN. ADL SUPPORT IS PROVIDED BY SYNOPTIC
SCALE ISENTROPIC LIFT..WITH BEST ASCENT APPEARING ON 295 THETA SFC ACRS
E CENTRAL TX INTO CENTRAL LA. THEREFORE..EXPECT THAT HEAVY RAIN THREAT
WILL CONT TO SHIFT EAST IN SHORT TERM ACRS LIBERTY..HARDIN..TYLER..JASPER
AND SURROUNDING COUNTIES.
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MEANWHILE..NEW CNVTN INDICATED BY LIGHTNING DATA AND RADAR  IN A LN FROM
BEXAR TO GUADELUPE TO BASTROP. CLD TOP TEMPS QUITE WARM BUT CNVTN IS
DEVELOPING IN AREA OF INSTABILITY AS PER GOES DERIVED LI/S THAT EXTENDS
FURTHER TO THE N AND W. CNVTN ALSO BEING AIDED BY WEAK VORT INDICATED
IN WV IMAGERY JUST E OF KSJT.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 3069 9465 3015 9461 2970 9679 3045 9672
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