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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/17/07 1545Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-11 1530Z  KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:1043Z/1225Z NASA AMSR-E:1041Z
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LOCATION...N CALIFORNIA...W OREGON...WASHINGTON...
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ATTN WFOS...MFR...SEW...PQR...EKA...
ATTN RFCS...NWRFC...CNRFC...
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EVENT...STORM AT 155W ACTING ON MOISTURE PLUME FOR SUN/SUN NIGHT HVY
PRECIP...
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...NOT GOING TO DWELL ON CURRENT PRECIP WITH
WEAK STORM OFFSHORE WA COAST THAT WILL BE MOVING INLAND LATER TODAY AND
WARM ADVECTION PRECIP CONTINUING TO MOVE EAST THRU
EXT E WA...ID AND W MT...MORE OF PROBLEM WILL BE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL
FURTHER SOUTH FOR SUNDAY/SUN NIGHT INTO MONDAY.  PRECIPITATION FOR THE
MOST PART WILL BE LIGHT THRU MOST OF TONIGHT FURTHER SOUTH IN OREGON AND
THERE MAY BE A BRIEF BREAK IN ANY STEADY LIGHT AS BEST BREAK IN IR CLOUDS
AND MIROWAVE RAIN OFFSHORE WAS BETWEEN 126 AND 131W.  MICROWAVE SHOWING
WELL DEFINED PW PLUME OR CONCENTRATION OF HIGHEST MOISTURE CENTERED
FROM SUBTROPICS AT 160W TO OREGON COAST.  700MB WINDS FOR MOISTURE
TRANSPORT ADVECTION ALREADY VERY GOOD WITH WINDS OF 30-50KTS BLOWING
NEARLY PARALLEL THE PLUME.  ON TOP OF THAT...FRONTAL PASSAGE A COUPLE OF
DAYS AGO AND ITS TAIL END PW MOISTURE PLUME HAS JUST IN THE PAST 12HRS
MERGED WITH CURRENT WELL DEFINED PLUME OFFSHORE BETWEEN 150 AND 140W AND
IS PROBABLY ADDED MOISTURE TO THE PLUME.  MAX VALUES IN THE 1.2"-1.7"
RANGE IN NARROW PORTION OF THE CENTER OF THE PLUME NOW THAT IS WAITING
TO GET PICKED UP BY STRONG SHORT WAVE 36N/155W.  WITH WELL DEFINED JET
37N/150W TO OREGON COAST AND POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL POLAR JET EDGING OUT
TO 46N/160W...THIS STORM SYSTEM FOR SUNDAY/SUN NIGHT INTO MONDAY ON TOP
OF ALREADY HVY RAIN AMOUNTS FROM PREVIOUS STORMS OF THE WEEK...CAN MAKE
OREGON AND SPECIFIALLY SW OREGON VULNERABLE EVEN MORE. AND THE MORE
NARROW THE PLUME AND SLOWER THE SHORT WAVE ACTING ON THAT PLUME...THE
HIGHER THE CONCENTRATED MAXIMUM  PRECIPITATION... ESPECIALLY IN FAVORED
OROGRAPHIC AREAS.   WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR...
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 4657 12172 4152 12296 4064 12614 4586 12767
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