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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 11/16/07 1943Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-763-8678
LATEST DATA USED: GOES 12: 1932Z	DS
NOAA AMSU: 1651Z
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LOCATION...PUERTO RICO...
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ATTN WFOS...SJU...
ATTN RFCS...
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EVENT...RAPIDLY COOLING CLOUD TOPS NEARING S/SW SIDE OF ISLAND
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CNVTN ALONG A DEFORMATION ZONE IN THE WRN
ATLANTIC WHICH STRETCHES N OF PR HAS BEEN RAPIDLY COOLING OVER THE LAST
HR. CLUSTERS OF CELLS ARE THE BOTH THE N AND S SIDES OF THE ISLAND WITH
LATEST VIS IMAGERY SHOWING CU BEGINNING TO FORM OVER S CENTRAL PR. BNDRY
THAT CELLS HAVE FORMED ALONG TO THE S/W OF THE ISLAND IS MOVING TO THE
N AND E RESPECTIVELY. FORCING FROM THIS BNDRY IS ALREADY PROVIDING LIFT
FOR THE FORMING CU WHICH SHOULD BECOME PART OF A LARGER CLUSTER WITH THE
STORM CELLS CURRENTLY SURROUNDING MUCH OF THE ISLAND. WITH STLT SHOWING
ANOTHER CLUSTER FORMING JUST S OF THE BNDRY..COULD SEE MULTIPLE INSTANCES
OF CELLS REGENERATING OVER THE SAME AREAS TODAY. RECENT AMSU PASS THAT
WENT JUST NE OF PR SHOWED 1.6-1.7" PW VALUES WITHIN THE TROPICAL WAVE
THAT IS OVER THE AREA. WV IMAGERY IS FAIRLY DRY THOUGH INDICATING THAT
MOISTURE IS ONLY RICH AT THE LOWER LVLS. EXPECT BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIEST
RAINFALL..PARTICULARLY FROM TRAINING CELLS IS OVER THE SW AND S CENTRAL
PART OF THE ISLAND WITH THE FILLING IN OF CU SEEN ON VIS IMAGERY. ESTIMATE
THAT MAX RAINFALL RATES OF 1-1.5"/HR ARE POSSIBLE. SEE WEB ADDRESS IN
ABOUT 10-15 MIN FOR GRAPHIC.
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SEE NCEP HPC DISCUSSION AND QPF/S FOR FORECAST.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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SSD/SAB WEB ADDRESS FOR PRECIP ESTIMATES:
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/PCPN/
...ALL LOWER CASE EXCEPT /PS/PCPN/
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LAT...LON 1871 6550 1781 6552 1764 6739 1865 6757
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